SN GF min 7.7 min 8.6 min 7.6 min R&R None Ford

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1 To: API Lubricants Group Cc: Lubricants Group Mailing List API Ballot Seq. VH with Seq. VG Equivalency for GF-5 and API SN During the February 7, 2018 Lubricants Standards Group Meeting the LSG considered a motion to ballot a Ford Proposal for the inclusion of the Seq. VH for Seq. VG Equivalency in API SN and ILSAC GF-5. Ford s proposed limits for Seq. VH equivalency to Seq. VG in GF-5 and API SN are given below. Proposal API ILSAC AES RAC AEV APV OSC Hot Stuck Rings Seq. VH Limits SN GF min 7.7 min 8.6 min 7.6 min R&R None Ford After review and discussion, the LSG agreed by voice vote to send to Ballot the Ford proposed limits for Seq. VH at Seq. VG Equivalency for GF-5 and API SN. A copy of the Motion is included in the documentation. Drafts of Table G-5 and Table Q-5 are provided to show how the Seq. VH equivalency will be included in API The Statisticians Analysis and the Seq. VH Surveillance Panel Minutes are provided to support Motion to accept Ford s proposed limits for Seq. VH equivalency to Seq. VG in GF-5 and API SN. Lubricants Group Members should use the API eballot System to cast their vote and make comments. The eballot Link is: The Lubricants Group Member votes will be counted, and all received comments reviewed and considered before the ballot results are final. Non-Lubricants Group Members should comment on the Ballot Motion using the eballot system. The eballot Link is: All comments on the Ballot Motion will be reviewed before the ballot results are final. This eballot will close on April 9. All Votes and/or Comments must be received by the close date. If approved the Effective Date of the Change to API 1509 will February 7, 2018.

2 Motion for Seq. VH Feb. 7, 2018

3 Ford Ballot Proposal Motion to Ballot the Ford proposed limits for Seq. VH equivalency to Seq. VG in GF-5 and API SN. Proposal API ILSAC AES RAC AEV APV OSC Hot Stuck Rings Seq. VH Limits SN GF min 7.7 min 8.6 min 7.6 min R&R None Ford Motion by: Ron Romano Second: Brent Calcut Voice Vote: 14=Yes 0=No 2=Abstain

4 Draft API 1509 Table G-5 & Table Q-5

5 Engine Test Requirements a ASTM D7320 (Sequence IIIG) Kinematic viscosity 40 C, % Average weighted piston deposits, merits Hot stuck rings Average cam plus lifter wear, μm Or ASTM D8111 (Sequence IIIH) Kinematic viscosity 40 C, % Average weighted piston deposits, merits Hot stuck rings Table G-5 Requirements for API Service Category SN and API SN with Resource Conserving API SN SAE 0W-16, SAE 5W-16, SAE 0W-20, SAE 5W-20, SAE 0W-30, SAE 5W-30, SAE 10W (max) 4.0 (min) None 60 (max) 150 (max) 3.7 (min) None API SN Other Viscosity Grades 150 (max) 4.0 (min) None 60 (max) 150 (max) 3.7 (min) None API SN with Resource Conserving All Viscosity Grades a 150 (max) 4.0 (min) None 60 (max) 150 (max) 3.7 (min) None ASTM D6891 (Sequence IVA) Average cam wear (7 position avg), μm 90 (max) 90 (max) 90 (max) ASTM D6593 (Sequence VG) b Average engine sludge, merits Average rocker cover sludge, merits Average engine varnish, merits Average piston skirt varnish, merits Oil screen sludge, % area Oil screen debris, % area Hot-stuck compression rings Cold stuck rings Oil ring clogging, % area Or ASTM Dxxxx (Sequence VH) b Average engine sludge, merits Average rocker cover sludge, merits Average engine varnish, merits Average piston skirt varnish, merits Oil screen clogging, % area Hot-stuck compression rings ASTM D7589 (Sequence VID) c SAE XW-16 viscosity grade FEI SUM FEI 2 SAE XW-20 viscosity grade FEI SUM FEI 2 SAE XW-30 viscosity grade FEI SUM FEI 2 SAE 10W-30 and all other viscosity grades not listed above FEI SUM FEI (min) 8.3 (min) 8.9 (min) 7.5 (min) 15 (max) Rate & Report None Rate & Report Rate & Report 7.6 (min) 7.7 (min) 8.6 (min) 7.6 (min) Rate & Report None 8.0 (min) 8.3 (min) 8.9 (min) 7.5 (min) 15 (max) Rate & Report None Rate & Report Rate & Report 7.6 (min) 7.7 (min) 8.6 (min) 7.6 (min) Rate & Report None 8.0 (min) 8.3 (min) 8.9 (min) 7.5 (min) 15 (max) Rate & Report None Rate & Report Rate & Report 7.6 (min) 7.7 (min) 8.6 (min) 7.6 (min) Rate & Report None NR NR 2.8% min 1.3% min after 100 hours aging 2.6% min 1.2% min after 100 hours aging 1.9% min 0.9% min after 100 hours aging 1.5% min 0.6% min after 100 hours aging ASTM D6709 (Sequence VIII) Bearing weight loss, mg 26 (max) 26 (max) 26 (max)

6 Bench Test and Measured Parameter a Aged oil low-temperature viscosity ASTM D4684, (Sequence IIIGA), aged oil lowtemperature viscosity Pass Pass d Pass Or ASTM D7528, (ROBO Test), aged oil lowtemperature viscosity Pass Pass d Pass ASTM D7320, (Sequence IIIGB) phosphorus retention, % min NR NR 79 Or ASTM D8111, (Sequence IIIHB) phosphorus retention, % min NR NR 81 ASTM D6557 (Ball Rust Test), avg. gray value, min b ASTM D5800, evaporation loss, 1 hour at 250 C, % max e ASTM D6417, simulated distillation at 371 C, % max ASTM D6795, EOFT, % flow reduction, max ASTM D6794, EOWTT, % flow reduction, max with 0.6% H2O with 1.0% H2O with 2.0% H2O with 3.0% H2O ASTM D4951, phosphorus % mass, max f 0.08 g NR 0.08 g ASTM D4951, phosphorus % mass, min f 0.06 g 0.06 g 0.06 g ASTM D4951, or D2622, sulfur % mass, max f SAE 0W-16, 5W-16, 0W-20, 0W-30, 5W-20, and 5W g NR 0.5 g SAE 10W g NR 0.6 g All other viscosity grades NR NR 0.6 g ASTM D892 (Option A), foaming tendency Sequence I, ml, max, tendency/stability 10/0 h 10/0 i 10/0 h Sequence II, ml, max, tendency/stability 50/0 h 50/0 i 50/0 h Sequence III, ml, max, tendency/stability 10/0 h 10/0 i 10/0 h ASTM D6082 (Option A), high-temperature foaming ml, max, tendency/stability h 100/0 100/0 100/0 ASTM D6922, homogeneity and miscibility j j j ASTM D6709, (Sequence VIII) shear stability k k k ASTM D7097, TEOST MHT, high-temperature deposits, deposit wt, mg, max f ASTM D5133, gelation index, max b 12 l NR 12 l

7 ASTM D6335, TEOST 33C, high-temperature deposits, total deposit weight, mg, max SAE XW-16 SAE 0W-20 All other viscosity grades NR NR NR NR NR NR NR NR 30 ASTM D7563, emulsion retention NR NR no water separation ASTM D7216 Annex A2, elastomer compatibility Table G-6 Table G-6 Table G-6 ASTM D4683, D4741, or D5481, High Temp./High Shear 150 C, mpa s, min Note: All oils must meet the requirements of the most recent edition of SAE J300; NR = Not required. a Resource Conserving does not apply to SAE 0W-16 and 5W-16. a Tests are per ASTM requirements. b If CI-4, CJ-4, CK-4 and/or FA-4 categories precede the S category and there is no API Certification Mark, the Sequence VG (ASTM D6593) or Sequence VH (ASTM Dxxxx), Ball Rust (ASTM D6557), and Gelation Index (ASTM D5133) tests are not required. c Viscosity grades are limited to 0W, 5W and 10W multigrade oils. d Not required for monograde and 15W, 20W, and 25W multigrade oils. e Calculated conversions specified in ASTM D5800 are allowed. f For all viscosity grades: If CH-4, CI-4 and/or CJ-4 categories precede the "S" category and there is no API Certification Mark, the S category limits for phosphorus, sulfur, and the TEOST MHT do not apply. However, the CJ-4 limits for phosphorus and sulfur do apply for CJ-4 oils. This footnote cannot be applied if CK-4 or FA-4 is also claimed. Note that these C category oils have been formulated primarily for diesel engines and may not provide all of the performance requirements consistent with vehicle manufacturers' recommendations for gasoline-fueled engines. g This is a non-critical specification as described in ASTM D3244. h After 1-minute settling period. i After 10-minute settling period. j Shall remain homogenous and, when mixed with ASTM reference oils, shall remain miscible. k Ten-hour stripped kinematic viscosity must remain in original SAE viscosity grade except XW-20 which must remain 5.6 mm²/s. l To be evaluated from 5 C to temperature at which 40,000 cp is attained or 40 C, or 2 Celsius degrees below the appropriate MRV TP-1 temperature (defined by SAE J300), whichever occurs first.

8 Fresh Oil Viscosity Requirements SAE J300 Table Q-5 ILSAC GF-5 Passenger Car Engine Oil Standard Requirement Criterion Oils shall meet all requirements of SAE J300. Viscosity grades are limited to SAE 0W, 5W, and 10W multigrade oils Gelation index High Temperature/High Shear 150 C, mpa s Engine Test Requirements Wear and oil thickening Kinematic viscosity 40 C, % Average weighted piston deposits, merits Hot stuck rings Average cam plus lifter wear, μm Or Deposit and oil thickening Kinematic viscosity 40 C, % Average weighted piston deposits, merits Hot stuck rings Wear, sludge, and varnish Average engine sludge, merits Average rocker cover sludge, merits Average engine varnish, merits Average piston skirt varnish, merits Oil screen sludge, % area Oil screen debris, % area Hot-stuck compression rings Cold stuck rings Oil ring clogging, % area Or Wear, sludge, and varnish Average engine sludge, merits Average rocker cover sludge, merits Average engine varnish, merits Average piston skirt varnish, merits Oil screen clogging, % area Hot-stuck compression rings Valvetrain wear Average cam wear (7 position avg), μm Bearing corrosion Bearing weight loss, mg Fuel efficiency SAE XW-20 viscosity grade FEI SUM FEI 2 SAE XW-30 viscosity grade FEI SUM FEI 2 SAE 10W-30 and all other viscosity grades not listed above FEI SUM FEI 2 ASTM D (max) To be evaluated from 5 C to temperature at which 40,000 cp is attained or 40 C, or 2 Celsius degrees below appropriate MRV TP-1 temperature (defined by SAE J300), whichever occurs first ASTM D4683, D4741, or D (min) ASTM Sequence IIIG (ASTM D7320) 150 (max) 4.0 (min) None 60 (max) Or ASTM Sequence IIIH (ASTM D8111) 150 (max) 3.7 (min) None ASTM Sequence VG (ASTM D6593) 8.0 (min) 8.3 (min) 8.9 (min) 7.5 (min) 15 (max) Rate and Report None Rate and Report Rate and Report Or ASTM Sequence VH (ASTM Dxxxx) 7.6 (min) 7.7 (min) 8.6 (min) 7.6 (min) Rate and Report None ASTM Sequence IVA (ASTM D6891) 90 (max) ASTM Sequence VIII (ASTM D6709) 26 (max) ASTM Sequence VID (ASTM D7589) 2.6% min 1.2% min after 100 hours aging 1.9% min 0.9% min after 100 hours aging 1.5% min 0.6% min after 100 hours aging

9 Table Q-5 ILSAC GF-5 Passenger Car Engine Oil Standard (Continued) Requirement Criterion Bench Test Requirements Catalyst compatibility Phosphorus content, % (mass) Phosphorus volatility (Sequence IIIGB, phosphorus retention) Sulfur content SAE 0W and 5W multigrades, % (mass) SAE 10W-30, % (mass) Wear Phosphorus content, % (mass) Volatility Evaporation loss, % Simulated distillation, % High temperature deposits Deposit weight, mg High temperature deposits Total deposit weight, mg Filterability EOWTT, % with 0.6% H2O with 1.0% H2O with 2.0% H2O with 3.0% H2O EOFT, % Fresh oil foaming characteristics Tendency, ml Sequence I Sequence II Sequence III Stability, ml, after 1-minute settling Sequence I Sequence II Sequence III Fresh oil high temperature foaming characteristics Tendency, ml Stability, ml, after 1-minute settling ASTM D (max) ASTM D % (min) ASTM D4951 or D (max) 0.6 (max) ASTM D (min) ASTM D (max), 1 hour at 250 C (Note: Calculated conversions specified in D5800 are allowed.) ASTM D (max) at 371 C TEOST MHT (ASTM D7097) 35 (max) TEOST 33C (ASTM D6335) 30 (max) Note: No TEOST 33C limit for SAE 0W-20. ASTM D (max) flow reduction 50 (max) flow reduction 50 (max) flow reduction 50 (max) flow reduction Note: Test formulation with highest additive (DI/VI) concentration. Read across results to all other base oil/viscosity grade formulations using same or lower concentration of identical additive (DI/VI) combination. Each different DI/VI combination must be tested. ASTM D (max) flow reduction ASTM D892 (Option A and excluding paragraph 11) 10 (max) 50 (max) 10 (max) 0 (max) 0 (max) 0 (max) ASTM D6082 (Option A) 100 (max) 0 (max)

10 Table Q-5 ILSAC GF-5 Passenger Car Engine Oil Standard (Continued) Requirement Criterion Bench Test Requirements (continued) Aged oil low temperature viscosity Measure CCS viscosity of EOT ROBO sample at CCS temperature corresponding to original viscosity grade ROBO (ASTM D7528) If CCS viscosity measured is less than or equal to the maximum CCS viscosity specified for the original viscosity grade, run ASTM D4684 (MRV TP-1) at the MRV temperature specified in SAE J300 for the original viscosity grade. If CCS viscosity measured is higher than the maximum viscosity specified for the original viscosity grade in J300, run ASTM D4684 (MRV TP-1) at 5 C higher temperature (i.e., at MRV temperature specified in SAE J300 for the next higher viscosity grade). EOT ROBO sample must show no yield stress in the D4684 test and its D4684 viscosity must be below the maximum specified in SAE J300 for the original viscosity grade or the next higher viscosity grade, depending on the CCS viscosity grade, as outlined in a) or b) above. or Aged oil low temperature viscosity Shear stability 10-hour stripped 100 C Homogeneity and miscibility Engine rusting Average gray value Emulsion retention 0 C, 24 hours 25 C, 24 hours Elastomer compatibility ASTM Sequence IIIGA (ASTM D7320) a) If CCS viscosity measured is less than or equal to the maximum CCS viscosity specified for the original viscosity grade, run ASTM D4684 (MRV TP-1) at the MRV temperature specified in SAE J300 for the original viscosity grade. b) If CCS viscosity measured is higher than the maximum viscosity specified for the original viscosity grade in J300, run ASTM D4684 (MRV TP-1) at 5 C higher temperature (i.e., at MRV temperature specified in SAE J300 for the next higher viscosity grade). c) EOT IIIGA sample must show no yield stress in the D4684 test and its D4684 viscosity must be below the maximum specified in SAE J300 for the original viscosity grade or the next higher viscosity grade, depending on the CCS viscosity grade, as outlined in a) or b) above. ASTM Sequence VIII (ASTM D6709) Kinematic viscosity must remain in original SAE viscosity grade except XW-20 which must remain 5.6 mm 2 /s ASTM D6922 Shall remain homogeneous and, when mixed with ASTM Test Monitoring Center (TMC) reference oils, shall remain miscible. Ball Rust Test (ASTM D6557) 100 (min) ASTM D7563 No water separation No water separation ASTM D7216 Annex A2 Candidate oil testing for elastomer compatibility shall be performed using the five Standard Reference Elastomers (SREs) referenced herein and defined in SAE J2643. Candidate oil testing shall be performed according to ASTM D7216 Annex A2. The post-candidate-oil-immersion elastomers shall conform to the specification limits detailed below:

11 Elastomer Material (SAE J2643) Polyacrylate Rubber (ACM-1) Test Procedure Material Property Units Limits ASTM D471 Volume % -5, 9 ASTM D2240 Hardness pts. -10, 10 ASTM D412 Tensile Strength % -40, 40 Hydrogenated Nitrile Rubber (HNBR-1) ASTM D471 Volume % -5, 10 ASTM D2240 Hardness pts. -10, 5 ASTM D412 Tensile Strength % -20, 15 Silicone Rubber (VMQ-1) ASTM D471 Volume % -5, 40 ASTM D2240 Hardness pts. -30, 10 ASTM D412 Tensile Strength % -50, 5 Fluorocarbon Rubber (FKM-1) ASTM D471 Volume % -2, 3 ASTM D2240 Hardness pts. -6, 6 ASTM D412 Tensile Strength % -65, 10 Ethylene Acrylic Rubber (AEM-1) ASTM D471 Volume % -5, 30 ASTM D2240 Hardness pts. -20, 10 ASTM D412 Tensile Strength % -30, 30 Applicable Documents: 1. SAE Standard, Engine Oil Viscosity Classification SAE J300, SAE Handbook. 2. SAE Standard, Standard Reference Elastomers (SRE) for Characterizing the Effects on Vulcanized Rubbers, Proposed Draft SAE J2643, SAE Handbook. 3. ASTM Annual Book of Standards, Volume 5, Petroleum Products and Lubricants, current edition. 5. M. Batko and D. F. Florkowski, Low Temperature Rheological Properties of Aged Crankcase Oils, SAE Paper M. Batko and D. F. Florkowski, Lubricant Requirements of an Advanced Designed High Performance, Fuel Efficient Low Emissions V-6 Engine, SAE Paper 01FL-265

12 Statistician Report

13 VH VG SN Equivalency Limits Statistics Group October 20, 2017

14 Statistics Group Doyle Boese, Infineum Jo Martinez, Chevron Oronite Kevin O Malley, Lubrizol Martin Chadwick, Intertek Richard Grundza, TMC Lisa Dingwell, Afton Todd Dvorak, Afton Travis Kostan, SwRI 2

15 Executive Summary Four methods were utilized to develop proposed VH Equivalency Limits to VG SN limits. Recommended SN VH Equivalency Limits (and range of limits obtained via the four methods) for each VH pass/fail parameter follow: AES: 7.2 ( ) AEV50: 8.6 ( ) RAC: 7.7 ( ) APV50: 7.4 ( ) OSCR: TBD upon collection of a sufficient sample size of accepted OSCR rated data. HSR: 0 The procedures used to obtain these SN Equivalency Limits can be utilized to obtain SJ, SL and SM Equivalency Limits. 3

16 Data Fuel Batches listed in the TMC database as 0121LS01, NF0121LS and NF0121LS01 are combined into NF0121LS01 in this analysis. Data is as of August 21, The current fuel batch is DJ0121NX10. This batch was used for the VH Precision Matrix. 4

17 HSR HSR and OSCR HSR VG Limits and Targets for ROs 940 and 1009 for VG are 0. VH Targets for ROs 940 and 1009 are 0. Recommend VH HSR Equivalency Limit be 0. OSCR Data is being generated to develop Targets for the VH. 5

18 Adjusted VG AES Versus Fuel Batch The fuel batches are plotted in chronological order. The average severity adjusted AES result for both oils trend in parallel dependent on the Fuel Batch. 6

19 Adjusted VG AEV Versus Fuel Batch The fuel batches are plotted in chronological order. Both oils have AEV means above target for the last 3 fuel batches. 7

20 Adjusted VG RAC Versus Fuel Batch The fuel batches are plotted in chronological order. The average of the severity adjusted RAC results for RO 940 are more variable than for

21 Adjusted VG APV Versus Fuel Batch The fuel batches are plotted in chronological order. The average severity adjusted APV result for both oils trend in parallel dependent on the Fuel Batch. 9

22 Methods Utilized There are a number of potential methods to estimate VH VG Equivalency. Methods utilized in this analysis follow: Simple Model: 1. Utilize line connecting VG/VH Target pairs for Reference Oils 940 and 1009 to project VH VG Equivalency. The data utilized to estimate the target were based on severity adjusted results. Therefore, the targets for both oils are tied back to test start severity level. 2. Utilize line connecting VG/VH pairs of averages for Reference Oils 940 and 1009 based on current fuel batch (DJ0121NX10). The deviation from the mean of severity adjusted results appears to be dependent on the batch of fuel being used for some parameters. This method uses the current fuel batch (DJ0121NX10). Pass Probability: 3. VH limit is set such that its probability of passing is equivalent to the VG (based on VG and VH targets for Reference Oils 940 and 1009). 4. VH limit is set such that its probability of passing is equivalent to the VG [based on averages for Reference Oils 940 and 1009 based on current fuel batch (DJ0121NX10)]. 10

23 Methods Utilized (Continued) The sample sizes of the data sets used for the two methods are similar except for RO 1009 VG. Sample Sizes of Data Sets Utilized Oil VG VH Target Current Fuel Batch Target Current Fuel Batch

24 Data Utilized Both probability methods 3 and 4 utilize the LTMS standard deviations. The averages utilized are tabulated below. The averages for Methods 1 and 3 are LTMS targets. The averages for Methods 2 and 4 are of the current fuel batch (DJ0121NX10). The VG averages (targets and current fuel batch) and VH current fuel batch averages are based on severity adjusted results. The VH targets are LS means. Parameter VG VH LTMS Targets Curent Fuel Batch LTMS Targets Curent Fuel Batch AES AEV(50) RAC APV(50)

25 SIMPLE MODEL

26 Simple Model Method Both Methods 1 and 2 are based on severity adjusted reference oil results. The following two sections graphically illustrate the method, however, the numbers are calculated using models. 14

27 METHOD 1

28 AES VH VG SN Equivalency Based on VG and VH Targets (Method 1) VH Equiv. Term Estimate Intercept 3.32 VG AES 0.49 VG SN Limit Extrapolation of the line connecting the targets for Oils 940 and 1009 yields a VH Equivalency of the VG SN limit (8.0) of

29 AEV VH VG SN Equivalency Based on VG and VH Targets (Method 1) VH Equiv. Term Estimate Intercept 7.01 VG AEV 0.20 VG SN Limit Interpolation of the line connecting the targets for Oils 940 and 1009 yields a VH Equivalency of the VG SN limit (8.9) of Due to small difference in VG limits for ROs 940 and 1009, the equation of the line is suspect resulting in a low slope (0.2), however, because VG limit is between ROs and there is little separation between them, the resulting VH Equivalence is likely proper. 17

30 RAC VH VG SN Equivalency Based on VG and VH Targets (Method 1) Term Estimate Intercept 7.09 VG RAC VG SN Limit Interpolation of the line connecting the targets for Oils 940 and 1009 yields a VH Equivalency of the VG limit (8.3) of 7.77 [Ln(10-RAC) = ]. Due to close proximity of VG SN RAC limit to 940 RAC Target, there is increased confidence in the estimated equivalence. 18

31 APV VH VG SN Equivalency Based on VG and VH Targets (Method 1) Term Estimate Intercept 0.76 VG APV 0.92 VG SN Limit Interpolation of the line connecting the targets for Oils 940 and 1009 yields a VH Equivalency of the VG SN limit (7.5) of

32 METHOD 2

33 AES VH VG SN Equivalency Based on Current Fuel Batch Averages (Method 2) VH Equiv. Term Estimate Intercept 3.60 VG AES 0.45 VG SN Limit Extrapolation of the line connecting the targets for Oils 940 and 1009 yields a VH Equivalency of the VG SN limit (8.0) of

34 AEV VH VG Equivalency Based on Current Fuel Batch Averages (Method 2) VH Equiv. Term Estimate Intercept VG AEV 1.19 VG SN Limit The VG SN limit is slightly lower than the averages of both Oils 940 and 1009, however since they are similar both should be used which yields a VH Equivalency of the VG SN limit (8.9) of Due to small difference between the AEV averages of RO 940 and 1009 and the VG SN limit being close to the RO 940 VG average, the VH Equivalence is relatively tightly bound. 22

35 RAC VH VG Equivalency Based on Current Fuel Batch Averages (Method 2) VH Equiv. Term Estimate Intercept 7.12 VG RAC VG SN Limit Interpolation of the line connecting the targets for Oils 940 and 1009 yields a VH Equivalency of the VG SN limit (8.3) of 7.70 [Ln(10-RAC) = ]. Due to close proximity of VG RAC limit to 940 RAC average, there is increased confidence in the estimated equivalence. 23

36 APV VH VG Equivalency Based on Current Fuel Batch Averages (Method 2) VH Equiv. Term Estimate Intercept 3.95 VG APV 0.47 VG SN Limit Interpolation of the line connecting the targets for Oils 940 and 1009 yields a VH Equivalency of the SN VG limit (7.5) of Due to close proximity of VG APV limit to 940 APV average, there is increased confidence in the estimated equivalence. 24

37 PROBABILITY METHODS

38 Probability Method The VH Equivalency Limit is calculated such that the probability of passing it is the same as for passing the VG for a particular oil. For example, if the probability of Oil A passing the VG is 5%, the VH Equivalency Limit would be set such that the probability of Oil A passing the VH is 5%. The method is applied separately for ROs 940 and This method takes into account the differences in variability of the 2 tests, however, the limit is based on only one oil. Because the VG limits are specified to 1 decimal place and the results are specified to 2, the limit used to calculate the equivalency limit is the VG limit minus 0.04 or 0.05 per ASTM rounding guidelines. The LTMS standard deviations are used for both Methods 3 and 4. VG Limit X% VH Equivalency Limit 26

39 METHOD 3 PROBABILITY METHOD BASED ON RO TARGETS

40 AES VH - VG SN Equivalency Limit using Probability Method Based on Targets (Method 3) Due to the VG and VH Means being similar for RO 940 but differing for 1009, the limits associated with the two oils differs significantly. A general argument could be made for using the Average Equivalency Limit because both oils are utilized for its calculation. In this case, using the limit based on RO 1009 appears more proper because both oils are below the limit but RO 1009 is closer. Oil VG VH VG Limit Pass VH Equiv. Mean s Mean s Specified Effective Probability Limit Average

41 AEV50 VH VG SN Equivalency Limit using Probability Method Based on Targets (Method 3) Because RO 940 s VG and VH means are so similar, it s associated VH Equivalency Limit is closer to the VG Limit. Because the means of ROs 940 and 1009 are on opposite sides of the VG Limit and nearly equidistant, recommend using the Average. Oil VG VH VG Limit Pass VH Equiv. Mean s Mean s Specified Effective Probability Limit Average

42 RAC VH VG SN Equivalency Limit using Probability Method Based on Targets (Method 3) In the VH, RAC is transformed as Ln(10 RAC). This transformation tends to lengthen the tail the further the mean is above the limit, therefore the limit associated with RO 1009 is quite low. Because RO 940 is closer to the VG limit, recommend using the Equivalency Limit associated with RO 940. Oil VG VH VG Limit Pass VH Equiv Limit Mean s Mean Untrans. Mean s Specified Effective Probability Transformed Untransformed Average

43 APV50 VH VG SN Equivalency Limit using Probability Method Based on Targets (Method 3) Because the VG Means for the ROs are on either side of the VG limit, recommend using the Equivalency Limit associated with the Average. Oil VG VH VG Limit Pass VH Equiv. Mean s Mean s Specified Effective Probability Limit Average

44 METHOD 4 PROBABILITY METHOD BASED ON RO SEVERITY ADJUSTED MEANS FROM CURRENT FUEL BATCH

45 AES VH - VG SN Equivalency Limit using Probability Method Based on SA Results from Current Fuel Batch (Method 4) Due to the VG and VH Means being similar for RO 940 but differing for 1009, the limits associated with the two oils differs significantly. Recommend using the limit based on RO 1009 because both oils are below the limit but RO 1009 is closer. Oil VG VH VG Limit Pass VH Equiv. Mean s Mean s Specified Effective Probability Limit Average

46 AEV50 VH VG SN Equivalency Limit using Probability Method Based on SA Results from Current Fuel Batch (Method 4) Because the VG limits for both RO 940 and 1009 are very close to the VG limit, recommend using the Average. Oil VG VH VG Limit Pass VH Equiv. Mean s Mean s Specified Effective Probability Limit Average

47 RAC VH VG SN Equivalency Limit using Probability Method Based on SA Results from Current Fuel Batch (Method 4) The VH RAC is transformed as Ln(10 RAC). This transformation tends to lengthen the tail the further the mean is above the limit, therefore the limit associated with RO 1009 is quite low. Because RO 940 is closer to the VG limit, recommend using the Equivalency Limit associated with RO 940. Oil VG VH VG Limit Pass VH Equiv Limit Mean s Mean Untrans. Mean s Specified Effective Probability Transformed Untransformed Average

48 APV50 VH VG SN Equivalency Limit using Probability Method Based on SA Results from Current Fuel Batch (Method 4) Because the VG APV mean for RO 940 is very close to the SN VG limit, recommend using the Equivalency Limit associated with RO 940. Oil VG VH VG Limit Pass VH Equiv. Mean s Mean s Specified Effective Probability Limit Average

49 SELECTION OF VH EQUIVALENCY

50 VH SN Equivalency Limit Selection The limits for each pass/fail parameter for the VH are tabulated below obtained via the four methods. Ranges of methods are: AES: AEV50: RAC: APV50: Recommend estimates based on Method 2 because: This method more properly utilizes both reference oils. This method is based on results using a common fuel batch which appears to impact the severity adjusted results. Parameter VG Limit VH Equivalency Pass Probability Method 1 Method 2 Method 3 Method Average Average AES AEV(50) RAC APV(50)

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