FORMULATION OF MATHEMATICAL MODEL FOR PRODUCTION TURNOVER OF BIODIESEL PLANT BASED ON DIMENSIONAL ANALYSIS AND MULTIPLE REGRESSION

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1 FORMULATION OF MATHEMATICAL MODEL FOR PRODUCTION TURNOVER OF BIODIESEL PLANT BASED ON DIMENSIONAL ANALYSIS AND MULTIPLE REGRESSION ASHWIN S. CHATPALLIWAR 1, DR. VISHWAS S. DESHPANDE 2, DR. JAYANT P. MODAK 3 AND DR. NILESHSINGH V. THAKUR 4, 1,2 Deprtment of Industril Engineering, 3 Dept. of Mechnicl Engineering, 4 Dept. of Computer Science nd Engineering, 1,2,4 Shri Rmdeobb College of Engineering nd Mngement, 4 Priydrshini College of Engineering nd Architecture,Ngpur, Indi Emil: chtplliwrs@rediffmil.com, deshpndevs@rknec.edu, jpmodk@gmil.com, thkurnisvis@rediffmil.com Abstrct--- This pper presents the pproch for the mthemticl modeling of production turnover for the set up of new Biodiesel plnt bsed on the dimensionl nlysis nd multiple regression. Presented production turnover mthemticl model is derived bsed on the generted design dt. Design dt is generted from the estimted design dt. Estimtion of design dt is crried out bsed on the ssumed plnt lyouts of different cpcities. Dimensionl nlysis is used to mke the independent nd dependent vribles dimensionless nd to get dimensionless eqution. Lter, multiple regression nlysis is pplied to this dimensionless eqution to obtin the index vlues bsed on the lest squre method. The mthemticl model of production turnover is formulted using these obtined index vlues. Finlly, the formulted model is evluted on the bsis of correltion nd root men squre error between the computed vlues by model nd the estimted vlues. Keywords- Biodiesel Plnt Design, Dimensionl Anlysis, Multiple Regression, Mthemticl Model I. INTRODUCTION The most importnt reson for interest in Biodiesel production in Indi is tht the Indi s climtic conditions re conducive for production of wide rnge of oil seeds such s: soyben, groundnut, sfflower, mustrd, cstor nd sunflower etc. which re esily vilble. Min issue in the Biodiesel production is the design of the plnt nd is one of the importnt chllenges. The scope of reserch exists in this typicl re for the mechnicl nd industril engineering reserchers. This pper presents n pproch for mthemticl modeling of production turnover for the set up of new Biodiesel plnt. Plnt design is the min issue for ny mnufcturing plnt. Presented work is bsed on the ssumed Biodiesel plnt design. Concerned plnt includes mny resources nd the optiml use of these resources with certin constrints is the focl issue. Biodiesel plnt lyouts re prepred in AUTOCAD bsed on certin ssumptions. Bsed on the plnt lyouts, vrious design dt is estimted nd further the design dt is generted which lter used in formultion of mthemticl model of production turnover. This pper minly describes the pproch for formultion of mthemticl model which is bsed on the dimensionl nlysis nd multiple regression. This pper is orgnized s follows: section II discusses the Biodiesel plnt design key issues nd the relted work in brief. Suggested pproch nd the motivtion behind it re summrized in section III. Discussion on estimtion nd genertion of the design dt is presented in section IV. Derivtion of mthemticl model of production turnover for the set up of new Biodiesel plnt bsed on dimensionl nlysis nd multiple regression is presented in 43 section V. Section VI discusses the conclusion nd future scope followed by references. II. BIODIESEL PLANT DESIGN AND RELATED WORK Vrious issues hve to be considered in designing of ny Biodiesel plnt. Here, some of the importnt issues re identified nd briefly discussed. Purity of the feedstock: Biodiesel processing nd qulity re closely relted. The processes used to refine the feedstock nd convert it to Biodiesel determine whether the fuel will meet the pplicble specifictions s per stndrd or not [1]. Type of production process: Different methodologies or processes [2], generlly, used for production of Biodiesel re: Direct use / blending, Micro-emulsion, Pyrolysis nd Trnsesterifiction. Cpcity of the plnt: The first decision point for the design of production unit is its cpcity. Bsed on cpcity of the plnt, design of vrious equipments involved in production process cn be specified, s well s other requirement such s totl cost, lnd, power consumption, rw mterils, nd mn-hours etc. cn be estimted. Production cost nlysis: Production cost depends upon the prices of rw mterils, the method of production, nd utiliztion of by-products etc. The unit production cost cn be obtined by tking into ccount the cost of oil, methnol, utilities nd operting lbor nd ll other costs directly relted to production. Equipment cost nlysis: Cpitl cost estimtion is one of the most criticl elements in plnt vlution, cpitl budgeting, fesibility studies nd finnce decisions. Investment (cpitl cost) for plnt nd equipment is importnt in estblishing Biodiesel production cpbilities. Cost estimtion is used for proposl preprtion, fesibility nlysis nd evlution [3]. Lnd cquisition nd infrstructure cost nlysis: Lnd requirement nd infrstructure

2 cost re directly relted to production cpcity. Initil cpitl costs of the plnts differ primrily bsed on feedstock needs nd output. The physicl requirements of plnt consist of production fcility, tnk yrd llowing storge of mnufctured Biodiesel nd feedstock, offices, nd loding/unloding fcilities which dds the cost to initil cpitl cost. Mintennce cost: To operte sfe plnt is the first step, but mintining sfe plnt t sfe working environment to hndle ny emergency is full time job. For vrious plnt cpcities, the contributions of mintennce cost overhed become higher with bigger cpcities. The mintennce cost of the plnt is ssocited with the brekdown(s) or filure(s) of equipment(s). Operting profit: Profitbility of Biodiesel plnt cn be used s the bsic prmeter for comprison of vrious plnts. In generl, the operting profit is relted to the cpcity of the plnt. The cpcity of the plnt directly ffects the operting profit nd therefore the operting profit cn be the bse for comprison of vrious plnt cpcities. Fesibility Anlysis: The proximity of feedstock is crucil component for the fesibility nlysis of the Biodiesel plnt. Aprt from this, the others like equipment cost, Biodiesel selling price, humn resources involved etc. lso drive the fesibility nlysis. The fesibility nlysis of plnt cn provide useful conclusions with respect to the unit production cost nd vrious other technicl nd economicl prmeters. Performnce evlution prmeters: The cost of the plnt instlltion ccording to the cpcity of production; the profit s per the cpcity of the plnt; qulity of the Biodiesel; mintennce cost required s per the mintennce schedule; risk nlysis etc. re the generl prmeters cn be used for the evlution of ny Biodiesel plnt design. The design nd fesibility nlysis of Biodiesel production plnt is difficult to stndrdize the totl investment nd production cost, since its min chrcteristics (feedstock, finl products, the equipment items cost, lnd cquisition) re subject to mrket price fluctutions. Also, the cost of conventionl diesel fuel, which is directly relted to the price of crude oil, is subject to similr fluctutions, creting uncertinty in trgets for Biodiesel production cost/selling price [4]. As discussed previously, the importnt issues in the designing of ny plnt re the equipments, lnd vilbility, investment mount, cpcity requirement etc. Therefore, the scope of optimiztion in plnt designing exists with the imposed constrint of certin issues. One cn design the Biodiesel plnt with the considertion of ll bove mentioned importnt issues or cn considered only selected issues. Prominent work relted to plnt design is reported in [4-11], where most of the prmeters, lredy discussed in previous section, re used in formultion of the problem. Skrlis et l. [4] crried out the fesibility nlysis where they focused on the profit nlysis, while Hss et l. [5] crried out the simultion of computer model to estimte the cpitl 44 nd operting costs bsed on chnges in feedstock costs. Vn Ksteren nd Nisworo [6] hve described the process model where they presented the conceptul design to estimte the cost of Biodiesel production. Al-Zuhir et l. [7] hve designed nd instlled pilot plnt for Biodiesel production from wste/used vegetble oil using enzymtic pproch. Kpilkm nd Peugtong [8] hve crried out the simultion for optimlity where optiml operting condition for the Biodiesel production is studied nd identified. Mrchetti nd Errzu [9] hve discussed the work on simultion of Biodiesel plnt to produce the conceptul design nd simulte ech technology. Economic nlysis of Biodiesel production from vegetble oils is crried out by Apostolkou et l. [10]. Myint nd El-Hlwgi [11] crried out work of optimiztion of Biodiesel production from Soyben oil. Abbsi nd Diwekr [12] discussed the stochstic modeling pproch for Biodiesel production plnt efficiency. Zhng et l. [13] crried out the economic nlysis of Biodiesel production from wste cooking oil. Yet no work is reported in literture relted to mthemticl modeling of Biodiesel plnt design. III. MOTIVATION AND SUGGESTED APPROACH A. Motivtion After nlyzing the vilble literture, it is found tht the plnt design is n open issue where the reserch scope exists. The gps nd the observtions identified in literture re summrized s follows. () No concrete results re reported in literture regrding the lunching/instlltion of new Biodiesel plnt with vriety of objectives. (b) Existing pproches which re suggested in the literture for the plnt design move round the cost prmeters nd the chemicl processes with the fixed plnt cpcity. (c) No pproch exists s per our knowledge which cn ddress the problem of design of Biodiesel plnt with vriety of cpcities. (d) No pproch exists s per our knowledge which cn ddress the problem of design of Biodiesel plnt with cost nd cpcity perspective. (e) No mthemticl model bsed pproch exists for designing of Biodiesel plnt. (f) The cpcity of plnt, cpitl cost, operting cost, profit nlysis nd storge tnk mteril re the importnt bsic issues to be considered in designing of ny Biodiesel plnt. (g) Any plnt design move round the prmeters relted to these bsic issues. The bove mentioned gps nd observtions re the key motivtion for the development of the mthemticl model bsed pproch for the Biodiesel mnufcturing plnt design. B. Bsic Ide nd Suggested Approch The cost relted prmeters cn be used to evlute the design of the Biodiesel plnt with respect to the economics. These performnce evlution prmeters re- Cpcity (Production turnover); mintennce cost; operting profit. One cn develop

3 the pproch to focus on these prmeters when go for designing of the Biodiesel production plnt. Biodiesel plnt design bsiclly concerned with the resource mngement, i.e. how optimlly one cn use the resources? Model bsed pproch cn be developed, where the reltivity mongst the vrious resources cn be used in model development. The cost evlution of ech individul resource cn be the bse in forming the reltivity mongst the vrious resources. An pproximte model cn be developed using the design dt, where the design dt cn be relted to- Feedstock cost, Equipment specifiction, Tnk design, Lnd specifiction, Power consumption, Mn hours, Production turnover, Mintennce cost, nd Operting profit. Vrious symbols or the vribles cn be used for the identifiction of the bove mentioned dt prmeters, nd bsed on this, the mthemticl model cn be formulted using the generted dt nd lter the developed model cn be used to nswer the specific questions concerned to the Biodiesel production plnt design. The suggested pproch for design of Biodiesel mnufcturing plnt with cost nd cpcity perspective consists of the following steps. Step-1: Identifiction of input nd output prmeters. Step-2: Estimtion of the design dt for vrious cpcities (discussed in section IV). Step-3: Genertion of the design dt for vrious cpcities (discussed in section IV). Step-4: Formultion of the mthemticl model for the plnt mnufcturing Biodiesel (discussed in section V). C. Input nd Output Prmeters (Step-1) In presented work, Biodiesel plnt design relted input nd output prmeters re identified with TABLE I. reference to the bse prmeters discussed in section II nd following ssumptions. Method of Biodiesel production is lkli ctlytic methnol trnsesterifiction. Qulity of rw mteril is s per the stndrd required to produce Biodiesel. Plnt is operted for one btch per dy. Plnt is hving integrted crushing (seeds) plnt. Construction nd site preprtion cost is not considered in this study. Specifictions of process equipments cn ccommodte ll types of oil (rw mteril) for biodiesel production. Qulity of Biodiesel is s per the stndrd (EN 14214/IS biodiesel fuel stndrd). Plt lyout design is developed t our own. Presented work concern with the following input nd output prmeters. Input prmeters nd output prmeters of the Biodiesel plnt design re identified s the inputs nd responses of the Biodiesel plnt nd the sme nomenclture is used herefter in the remining text of this pper. Inputs: Equipment Cost, Power Consumption, Wter Requirement, Totl Fctory Are (Lnd Are), Oil Seeds, Methnol, Ctlyst (KOH), Mn-hours. Responses: Production Turnover, Mintennce Cost, nd Operting Profit IV. DATA ESTIMATON AND GENERATION A. Design Dt Estimtion (Step-2) Vrious inputs nd responses with their unit of mesure nd the estimtion bsed on re summrized in Tble I. The dt relted to the inputs nd response (Production turnover) is generted bsed on the plnt cpcity nd the estimted dt of inputs respectively. SUMMARY OF INPUTS AND RESPONSES Specifiction Unit Prmeter Estimtion Bsed On Equipment Cost in Lcs ` Input Design nd supplier Quottions Power HP Input Power rting of equipments Wter Litre Input Estimted s per process requirement Totl Fctory Are m 2 Input Lyout of plnt plotted in AutoCAD Oil Seeds Kg Input Cpcity of Biodiesel plnt Methnol Litre Input Cpcity of Biodiesel plnt Ctlyst KOH Kg Input Cpcity of Biodiesel plnt Mn-hours Hours Input Humn resource required for opertion of plnt Production Turnover (Kg. ` Response Expected output t ech stge of production converted in Rupees) Mintennce Cost in Lcs ` Response Expected filure cuses nd preventive mintennce schedule for ech equipment Operting Profit in Lcs ` Response Production cost nd revenue generted Estimtion of ll the inputs for the cpcities (1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 9, nd 10 ton) is crried out by referring the Biodiesel production plnt lyout designs which re prepred in AutoCAD for ll the cpcities with certin ssumptions nd the response (Production turnover) is lso evluted independently. Bsic requirements of the Biodiesel production plnt my get chnged s per the desired cpcity. Estimtion of some of the input prmeters is lso chnged due to the vrying specifiction requirements for different cpcities of Biodiesel production plnt. Shpe of the oil tnk for ll cpcity is sme. Number of wshing tnks nd drier tnks considered for ll cpcities re 3 nd 2 respectively, while single tnk is considered 45

4 for other type of tnks. Estimtion of expected production turnover is bsed on production process nd minimum output t ech stge of the process. Cpcity of oil expeller vries due to specifiction nd number of units used for vrious cpcities of Biodiesel production plnt. Chemicl composition s TABLE II. CHEMICAL COMPOSITION AS PER STANDARD FOR ESTIMATED OIL, METHANOL AND CATALYST FOR 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 9, AND 10 TON CAPACITY BIODIESEL PRODUCTION PLANT Cpc ity of plnt (ton) Oil Meth nol Ctl yst (KOH ) Glyce rol Biodie sel Cpc ity of Plnt (ton) TABLE III. B. Design Dt Genertion (Step-3) Design dt is generted using the estimted vlues of the inputs nd response (Production turnover). Intermedite vlues of the inputs nd response for vrious cpcities re generted by using the MATLAB tool. This generted design dt for inputs nd response is used lter for development of mthemticl model. Previously estimted design dt vlues given in Tble III re used to generte design dt. The flow of the pproch to generte the design dt consist of per the stndrd rection for estimted oil, methnol nd ctlyst nd expected quntities of Glycerol nd Biodiesel for ll cpcity re given in Tble II. Summry of estimted vlues of ll inputs nd response (Production turnover) for 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 9, nd 10 ton cpcity Biodiesel plnts is given in Tble III. SUMMARY OF ALL INPUTS AND RESPONSES ESTIMATION FOR 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 9, AND 10 TON CAPACITY BIODIESEL PLANTS Equipm ent Cost (` In Lcs) Pow er (HP ) Wt er (Litr e) Inputs Totl Fcto ry Are (m 2 ) Oil See ds Meth -nol (Litr e) Ct -lyst KO H Respo nse Mnhours Turno Prod. (Hou ver rs) (`In Lcs) following two steps: Step-1: Dt fitting- For ech inputs nd response, form the vector between the two consecutive cpcity vlues. Step-2: Finding intermedite dt- Increment the lowest vlue by 0.1 to the highest vlue of the two consecutive cpcities which formed the vector to get the corresponding intermedite vlues of the inputs nd response by referring the vector formed in step 1. Generted design dt of inputs nd response (Production turnover) for few of the intermedite vlues of cpcity is given in Tble IV. TABLE IV. GENERATED DESIGN DATA FOR ALL INPUTS AND RESPONSE (PRODUCTION TURNOVER) Cpcity of Plnt (ton) Equipment Cost (` In Lcs) Power (HP) Wter (Litre) Inputs Totl Fctory Are (m 2 ) Oil Seeds Ctlyst Mnhours Methnol KOH (Litre) (Hours) 46 Production Turnover (`In Lcs) Responses Mintennce Cost (`In Lcs) Operting Profit (`In Lcs)

5 V. FORMULATION OF MODEL FOR PRODUCTION TURNOVER To strt Biodiesel production plnt, one will hve to decide wht should be the cpcity of plnt in order to get mximum production turnover, operting profit nd minimum mintennce cost. These issues cn be ddressed if quntittive reltionship between the inputs nd responses of the plnt is formulted in terms of mthemticl model. Reltionship mongst the inputs nd response (Production turnover) is estblished first, by doing the dimensionl nlysis of independent nd dependent vribles nd followed by formulting multiple-liner-regression model. Formulted mthemticl model is bsed on the generted designed dt. In this pper, the mthemticl model is formulted for production turnover. A. Dimensionl Anlysis Formultion of dimensionl eqution is the first step to formulte the model of Biodiesel production plnt. The vribles to be predicted re clled the responses or dependent vribles nd the vribles predicting the responses re clled the inputs or independent vribles. The functionl reltionship mongst the inputs nd response (Production turnover) ffecting the Biodiesel production plnt is formulted using dimensionl nlysis. Following re the two methods for dimensionl nlysis: Buckinghm s theorem Ryleigh s method Above two methods provides the sme results, in most of the cses but hving slightly different pproch of formultion. Ryleigh s method of dimensionl nlysis is used in this work nd it expresses functionl reltionship of inputs nd response (Production turnover) in the form of n exponentil eqution. The method involves the following steps: Identifiction of the inputs those re likely to influence the response. If X is vrible tht depends upon input vribles X1, X 2, X3,, X n, then the functionl 47 eqution cn be written s X F X1, X 2, X3,, X n. Write the bove eqution in the form where C is dimensionless constnt nd, b, c,, m re rbitrry exponents. Express ech of the quntities in the eqution in some fundmentl units in which the solution is required. By using dimensionl homogeneity, obtin set of simultneous equtions involving the exponents, b, c,, m. Solve these equtions to obtin the vlue of exponents, b, c,, m. Substitute the vlues of exponents in the min eqution, nd form the non-dimensionl prmeters by grouping the inputs with like exponents. Dimensionl eqution so obtined cn be formulted into model using multiple-linerregression nlysis. Multiple-liner-regression nlysis is sttisticl tool tht utilizes the reltion between two or more quntittive vribles so tht one vrible cn predict from nother. By using this methodology the dimensionl eqution nd model is formulted for the production turnover. The formulted model is evluted on the bsis of correltion nd root men squre error between the computed vlues by model nd the estimted vlues. B. Vribles with Symbols nd Dimensions Vrious inputs like equipments cost, power, wter, fctory re, oil seeds, methnol, ctlyst nd mn-hours tht ffects the production turnover of Biodiesel production plnt. Dimensionl nlysis is used to reduce the complexity of phenomenon of Biodiesel production t initil stge nd to deduce vrious inputs in non-dimensionl form. Inputs involved in Biodiesel production plnt is expressed dimensionlly in terms of three fundmentl quntities i.e. mss [M], length [L], time [T] nd cost prmeter represented s rupee [`] in dimensionl form in presented work. List of vrious inputs (dependent vribles) nd responses (independent vribles) with their symbol nd dimensions is given in Tble V.

6 TABLE V. LIST OF VARIABLE WITH SYMBOL AND DIMENSIONS (NV-NAME OF VARIABLE, TV-TYPE OF VARIABLE (Ind-Independent, Dep-Dependent), SL- SYMBOL, DM-DIMENSIONS, UM-UNIT OF MEASUREMENT) Sr. NV TV SL DM UM No. 1 Equipments Ind E c ` ` Cost 2 Power HP Ind P M 1 L 2 T - 3 HP 3 Wter Ind W L 3 m 3 4 Fctory Are Ind A L 2 m 2 5 Oil Seeds Ind O s M 1 Kg 6 Methnol Ind M e L 3 m 3 7 Ctlyst Ind C M 1 Kg (NOH/ KOH) 8 Mn-hours Ind M h T 1 Hrs 9 Grvittionl Ind G L 1 T - m/s 2 Accelertion 2 10 Production Dep P t ` ` Turnover 11 Mintennce Dep M c ` ` Cost 12 Operting Profit Dep O p ` ` C. Formultion of Dimensionl Eqution for the Response Production Turnover Formultion of dimensionl eqution for the response production turnover is bsed on the inputs identified for Biodiesel production plnt. The production turnover s function of inputs is represented in eqution (1). P f E, P, W, A, O, M, C, M, g (1) t c s e h As per the methodology (dimensionl nlysis, s previously discussed), it is ssumed tht the reltionship between these quntities exist nd which is written s given in eqution (2). b c d e f g h i Pt f ( Ec ),( P),( W),( A),( Os ),( Me),( C ),( Mh ),( g) (2) where, b, c, d, e, f, g, h, i re rbitrrily powers. Eqution (2) cn be rewritten in the dimensionl form using the dimensions from Tble V nd is of the form shown in eqution (3) b 3 c 2 d 1 e ( ` ),( M L T ),( L ),( L ),( M ), ` = f 3 f 1 g 1 h 1 2 i ( L ),( M ),( T ),( L T ) (3) If eqution (3) is to be dimensionlly homogeneous (the dimensions of ll terms re the sme), the following reltionship mongst the exponent must exist: For M : 0 b e g (4) For L : 0 2b 3c 2d 3 f i (5) For T : 0 3b h 2i (6) 48 For ` : 1 (7) Simplifying equtions (4), (5), nd (6) to get the vlues of b, h, nd d. Substituting the vlues of exponents, b, h nd d from equtions (7), (8), (9), nd (10) respectively in (2) nd rewrite the eqution (2) s eqution (11). b e g (8) h 3e 3g 2i (9) d e g c f i (10) 1 eg c e g3 2c3 2 f 1 2 ( ),( ),( ),( ) i Ec P W A, Pt f ( e f g 3e3g2i i ( Os ),( Me ),( C ),( M h ),( g) 11) Now, collecting the terms with like exponents to get the dimensionless groups nd is given in eqution (12). c e f W A, AOs M h P, Me A, Pt Ec f g i AC M h P, gm h A (12) Eqution (12) represents the groups of nondimensionl prmeter for the response (production turnover). Nine inputs for the Biodiesel production plnt re reduced to five dimensionless groups. Ech group is represented s π term nd is given in Tble VI. TABLE VI. NON-DIMENSIONAL GROUPS AS π TERMS Vrible Dimensionless π terms term groups Inputs 3 2 W A 1 3 AO M P 2 s h 3 2 M A 3 e 3 AC M P 4 h gm A 5 h Response Pt E c 6 D. Formultion of Model for Production Turnover Formultion of dimensionless groups for production turnover is given in Eqution (12) nd is represented using π terms (s given in Tble VI) to get eqution (13) s follows: 1 2 4,,,, f (13) Where, the π terms re clculted from generted design dt (Tble IV) for Biodiesel production plnt. Eqution (13) represents the reltionship of the response term 6 with the dimensionless group terms 1, 2, 3, 4, nd 5. Therefore, the multipleregression model for production turnover s function of vrious inputs is written s eqution (14).

7 (14) where, 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, nd 5 re the constnt exponent or clled s n index of respective π terms or regression coefficients. Eqution (14) represents nonliner reltionship between inputs nd response. The logrithmic trnsformtion of response provides log-liner form, which is commonly used in liner regression nlysis. Eqution (14) is simplified by tking log of both the sides, nd is expressed in eqution (15). log 0 1 log1 2 log 2 log 6 (15) 3 log3 4 log 4 5 log5 Eqution (15) is multiple-liner-regression model with five regressor vribles nd is liner function of unknown prmeters 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, nd 5. Eqution (15) is written in generl form of multipleregression s eqution (16). Y k X X X X X (16) where Y log, k log, X log, X log, X log, X log, nd X log. X, X, X, X, nd X5 re clculted by using the π terms vlues nd is given in Tble VII. Constnts k, 1, 2, 3, 4, nd 5 re clculted from the generted designed dt using lest squres method. Therefore, bove eqution (16) is solved for k, 1, 2, 3, 4, nd 5 using lest squre method nd the clcultions re worked out by using the eqution (17), where n is totl number of dt smples. Eqution (17) is solved using MATLAB. Y n X1 X 2 X 3 X 4 X 5 k Y X 1 X1 X1 X1 X1 X 2 X1 X 3 X1 X 4 X1 X 5 1 Y X 2 X 2 X 2 X1 X 2 X 2 X 2 X 3 X 2 X 4 X 2 X 5 2 Y X 3 X 3 X 3 X1 X 3 X 2 X 3 X 3 X 3 X 4 X3 X Y X 4 X 4 X 4 X1 X 4 X 2 X 4 X 3 X 4 X 4 X 4 X 5 5 Y X 5 X 5 X5 X1 X 5 X 2 X5 X3 X5 X 4 X5 X5 (17) TABLE VII. LOG EVALUATION OF TERMS Cpcity log 1 log 2 log 3 log 4 log 5 log 6 Cpcity log 1 log 2 log 3 log 4 log 5 log

8 E. Implementtion Resuts nd Discussion After solving eqution (17), the obtined results for k, 1, 2, 3, 4, nd 5 re , , , , , nd respectively. As k log 0, hence 0 = Now, the vlues of 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, nd 5 re vilble, therefore, the multiple-regression model for production turnover s function of vrious inputs is written s eqution (18) (18) VI. CONCLUSION AND FUTURE SCOPE The importnt issue t the formultion of mthemticl model is tht one should keep in mind the production process flow of the Biodiesel plnt. As per the process flow nd the specifictions of the desired Biodiesel production plnt design, the dependency nd independency of the resources cn be evluted nd ccordingly the reltion of the resources cn be estblished. Once the reltionl model is prepred, the objectives of the desired mthemticl model cn be identified, which then mke the concern problem s the single or multiobjective problem. Lter it cn be solved by the clssicl on non-clssicl methods. Different models cn be possible ccording to the desires of individul, perspectives of the engineer involved in designing of the plnt. In presented work, n pproch for mthemticl model of production turnover of Biodiesel production plnt is discussed. Presented work dels with the dimensionl nlysis nd multiple regression nlysis. Formulted mthemticl model provides the detil of dependency of the production turnover on the inputs. As, it is identified tht there re five groups on which the production turnover depends, out of which some typicl group hve the dominnt role in deciding the quntity of production turnover. From eqution (18), it is cler tht the fifth group plys the very importnt role in evlution of production turnover, s the power of the fifth group is lrgest one. The generted design dt is used for the mthemticl model formultion for the plnt mnufcturing Biodiesel. All this work is crried out with certin ssumptions. If the dt rnge is other thn the rnge which is used in mthemticl model formtion, then, the curve for the dependent vrible devites for the other dt rnge. This is hppening becuse the model is developed using multiple liner regression nlysis. Therefore, presented model is suitble for the rnge of the identified cpcities. Mthemticl formultion cn be crried out by using different existing mechnisms nd/or techniques. This pper provides the new direction of work for the reserchers to optimize the design of ny plnt by generting design dt which then be used for the formultion of mthemticl model. In future, different mthemticl model cn be formulted, such s, mintennce cost model nd operting profit model. Presented work dels with the multiple liner regression nlysis, but one cn go for the sme problem s the multiple-nonliner regression problem. Presented model cn be enhnced or evluted ginst the other models which cn be developed by considering other techniques of regression. Presented model cn be evluted by using the neurl network. For this, one hs to go for the formtion neurl network bsed on the generted dt for the typicl model, here for instnce, 50

9 production turnover model. Relibility of the presented model cn be evluted bsed on the evlution of the ctul vlues of the group terms nd the evluted vlues of the group terms using the proposed mthemticl model. Correltion of these two vlues cn be evluted, bsed on which the relibility of the presented model cn be predicted. REFERENCES [1] Knothe, G., Gerpen, J.V., nd Krhl, J., The Biodiesel Hndbook, AOCS press, Chmpign, Illinios, [2] Vivek, nd Gupt, A.K., Biodiesel production from Krnj oil, Journl of Scientific nd Industril Reserch, Vol. 63, Issue 1, 2004, PP [3] Amigun, B., Müller-Lnger, F., nd Von-Blottnitz, H., Predicting the costs of biodiesel production in Afric: lerning from Germny, Energy for Sustinble Development, Vol. 12, Issue 1, 2008, PP [4] Skrlis, S., Kondili, E., nd Kldellis, J.K., Design nd fesibility nlysis of new biodiesel plnt in Greece, SynEnergy Forum (S.E.F.) Interntionl Scientific Conference, My 2008, Spetses, Greece, vilble t: (ccessed on December 2009) [5] Hs, M.J., McAloon, A.J., Yee, W.C., nd Fogli, T.A., A process model to estimte biodiesel production costs, Bioresource Technology, Vol. 97, Issue 4, 2006, PP [6] Vn-Ksteren, J.M.N., nd Nisworo, A.P., A process model to estimte the cost of industril scle biodiesel production from wste cooking oil by supercriticl trnsesterifiction, Resources, Conservtion nd Recycling, Vol. 50, Issue 4, 2007, PP [7] Al-Zuhir, S., Almenhli, A., Hmd, I., Alshehhi, M., Alsuwidi, N., nd Mohmed, S., Enzymtic production of biodiesel from used/wste vegetble oils: Design of pilot plnt, Renewble Energy: Genertion & Appliction, Vol. 36, Issue 10, 2011, PP [8] Kpilkrn, K., nd Peugtong, A., A comprison of costs of Biodiesel production from trnsesteriction, Interntionl Energy Journl, Vol. 8, Issue 1, 2007, PP [9] Mrchetti, J.M., nd Errzu, A.F., Technoeconomic study of supercriticl biodiesel production plnt, Energy Conversion nd Mngement, Vol. 49, Issue 8, 2008, PP [10] Apostolkou, A.A., Kookos, I.K., Mrzioti, C., nd Angelopoulos, K.C., Techno-economic nlysis of biodiesel production process from vegetble oils, Fuel Processing Technology, Vol. 90, Issue 7-8, 2009, PP [11] Myint, L.L., nd El-Hlwgi, M.M., Process nlysis nd optimiztion of Biodiesel production from soyben oil, Clen Technology nd Environmentl Policy, Vol. 11, Issue 3, 2009, PP [12] Abbsi, S., & Diwekr, U., Stochstic modeling of Biodiesel production process, vilble t: (ccessed on December 2009). [13] Zhng, Y., Dube, M.A., McLen, D.D., & Ktes, M., Biodiesel production from wste cooking oil: 2. Economic ssessment nd sensitivity nlysis, Bio Resource Technology, Vol. 90, Issue 3, 2003, PP