The Panama Canal: Modernization and Expansion

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1 The Panama Canal: Modernization and Expansion 26th Annual Summer Ports, Waterways, Freight & International Trade Conference June 26, 2001 Galveston, Texas Rodolfo Sabonge Director, Corporate Planning and Marketing Panama Canal Authority

2 Agenda! Canal Performance! Modernization Program! Expansion Plans

3 ATLANTIC OCEAN CHAGRES RIVER RIO GRANDE PACIFIC OCEAN

4 ATLANTIC OCEAN GATUN LAKE CHAGRES RIVER GRANDE RIVER PACIFIC OCEAN

5 ATLANTIC OCEAN COLON CITY GATUN LOCKS GATUN LAKE MADDEN RIO CHAGRES PEDRO MIGUEL LOCKS MIRAFLORES LOCKS PANAMA A CITY PACIFIC OCEAN

6

7 PANAM AX VESSEL LOCKS CHAMBER: mts. MAX LENGTH: 294 mts. MAX DRAFT: 12 M. CHAMBER WIDTH: mts MAX BEAM: 32.5 mts.

8 80 Km 8-10 hrs TRANSIT TIME +/- 24 hrs CWT

9 Kobe,Japan -New York Saves 2,846 NauticalMiles Source:Fairplay W orldshipping Encyclopedia 1998

10 Ecuador -New York Saves 7,366 NauticalMiles Source: Fairplay W orldshipping Encyclopedia 1998

11 Principal Routes - FY 2000 East Coast U.S. Asia 42.0% COMMODITIES GRAINS CONTAINERS CHEMICALS FERTILIZERS & PHOSPHATES MANUFACTURERS IRON & STEEL

12 Principal Routes - FY 2000 West Coast South America East Coast U.S. COMMODITIES GRAINS PETROLEUM CONTAINERS SALT MISCELLANEOUS 8.9%

13 PANAMA CANAL TRAFFIC In Fiscal Year 2000:! More than 13,600 oceangoing commercial transits! 194 Million long tons of cargo! 4% of the world s seaborne trade

14 Transits by Principal Oceangoing Ship Types 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, Calendar Year Dry Bulk Carriers 3,839 3,550 3,470 3,265 3,009 Containerships 1,727 1,808 2,069 1,958 2,212 Refrigerated Cargo 2,474 2,442 2,018 1,997 2,029 Tankers 2,038 2,071 1,877 1,929 2,014 General Cargo 1,417 1,369 1, ,052 Vehicle Carriers Passenger Ships

15 PC/UMS Net Tons by Principal Oceangoing Ship Type 90,000 Calendar Year Thousands of Net Tons 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10, Dry Bulk Carriers 81,916 74,036 71,813 69,308 65,389 Containerships 41,161 43,850 51,524 50,901 58,871 Vehicle Carriers 26,067 24,960 27,622 32,806 36,171 Tankers 34,492 34,039 31,160 32,163 32,557 Refrigerated Cargo 17,568 17,881 14,764 15,251 15,522 Passenger Ships 7,742 8,989 9,449 9,872 8,789 General Cargo 11,004 10,645 10,256 7,531 8,014 Liquid Gas Carriers 2,654 2,455 2,254 2,730 2,649

16 Panama Canal Universal Measurement System (PCUMS) C urrenttolls $ 2.57 /PCUM S (laden) $ 2.04 /PCUM S (ballast) $ 1.43 /displacem entton One PCUMS Ton = 100 cubic feetofcargo carrying capacity

17 Average PC/UMS Net Tonnage of Oceangoing Vessels by Ship Type 45,000 40,000 Calendar Year PC/UMS Net Tons 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5, Vehicle Carriers 34,942 35,556 36,731 37,322 40,057 Passenger Ship 27,358 30,369 30,981 33,239 35,729 Containerships 23,834 24,253 24,903 25,997 26,614 Dry-bulk Carrier 21,338 20,855 20,695 21,227 21,731 Tanker 16,925 16,436 16,601 16,674 16,165 Liquid-gas carrier 15,078 11,860 11,678 13,652 13,868 Refrigerated Cargo 7,101 7,322 7,316 7,637 7,650 General Cargo 7,766 7,776 7,805 7,539 7,618

18 Cargo Flow by Commodity Type Millions of Long Tons Calendar Year Grains Container cargo Petroleum and products Nitrates, phosphates and potash Manufactures of iron and steel Chemicals and petroleum chemicals Coal and coke Others Total

19 Accident Statistics No. of Accident Investigations Calendar Year

20 Canal Waters Time 33 Canal Waters Time in Hours Year

21

22 TOTAL TRANSITS FY Transits Fiscal Year Transits in Thousands Transits in Thousands

23 TOTAL TRANSITS vs PC/UMS NET FY Transits PC/UMS Net Fiscal Year Transits in Thousands Transits in Thousands PC/UMS Net in Millions

24 AVERAGE PC/UMS NET TONNAGE Oceangoing Commercial Vessels 4,832 FY ,931 FY ,649 FY 2000

25 % of Total Transits Panamax Transits feet of Beam Fiscal Year

26 IMPACT OF VESSEL SIZE < 80 BEAM Lockages in half the time 4 locomotives required 3 tug assignments 1 pilot No transit restriction 6 or 8 locomotives required 7 to 10 tug assignments Minimum of 2 pilots PANAMAX Restricted to daylight transit

27 Agenda! Canal Performance! Modernization Program

28 ATLANTIC OCEAN REPUBLIC OF PANAMA COLON GATUN LO CKS MADEN LAKE GATUN LAKE GAILLARD CUT PEDRO MIGUEL LO CKS MIRAFLO RES LOCKS Balboa PANAMA A CITY PACIFIC OCEAN

29 $1B Improvem entand M odernization Program Cut Widening New Track New Locomotives New Tugs EVTMS Locks Machinery

30 Benefits of Modernization Program " Increased Canal capacity by 20% " Reduced Canal Waters Time " Reduced impact of lane outages " Improved navigational safety " Reduced maintenance costs " Improved reliability

31

32 Total Transits Forecast vs Capacity Total Transits Forecast vs Capacity 28,000 26,000 24,000 22,000 20,000 18,000 16,000 Total Transits Canal Capacity 14,000 12,000 10, Total Transits Total Transits Fiscal Year

33 Agenda! Canal Performance! Modernization Program! Expansion Plans

34 Study Plans Conceptual Reconnaissance or Pre-feasibility Full-Feasibility Reaching Consensus Final Design Implementation

35 16,500 16,000 15,500 15,000 14,500 14,000 13,500 13,000 12,500 12,000 11,500 11,000 10,500 10,000 9,500 9,000 8,500 8,000 7,500 7,000 6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, ,024 4,101 World s vs Canal Trade 4,307 (Million Long Tons) 5,188 6,052 7,507 9,092 11,371 15, World Seaborne Trade

36 16,500 16,000 15,500 15,000 14,500 14,000 13,500 13,000 12,500 12,000 11,500 11,000 10,500 10,000 9,500 9,000 8,500 8,000 7,500 7,000 6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, , ,101 World s vs Canal Trade 4,307 1,346 1,426 (Million Long Tons) 5,188 1,783 6,052 2,150 7,507 9,092 11,371 4,462 2,776 3,452 15,570 6, World Seaborne Trade Accessible Market share

37 16,500 16,000 15,500 15,000 14,500 14,000 13,500 13,000 12,500 12,000 11,500 11,000 10,500 10,000 9,500 9,000 8,500 8,000 7,500 7,000 6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, ,024 4,101 World s vs Canal Trade 4,307 (Million Long Tons) 5,188 6,052 7,507 9,092 2,776 3,452 11,371 4,462 3,452 15,570 6,322 2,150 1,783 1,346 1, World Seaborne Trade Accessible Market share PCBaseline

38 WORLD SEABORNE TRADE Projections for seaborne commerce Containers General cargo Dry bulk Liquid bulk YEAR MILLION M.T. 2,500 4,790 6,000 8,000

39 Containerships Newbuilding orders: 484 Feb. 2001) 1% 10% 39% 21% 6% 23% Feeder Feedermax Handy Sub-Panam ax Panam ax Post-Panamax Source: Fairplay Solutions, March 2001 Fuente: Fairplay Solutions, JUNE 2000-ISSUE No. 45

40 Containerships - Capacity Newbuildings on order (1,576,896 TEUs Feb 2001) 2% 9% 18% 65% 6% Feedermax Handy Sub-Panamax Panamax Post-Panamax Source: Fairplay Solutions, March 2001 Fuente: Fairplay Solutions, June 2000 ISSUE No. 45

41

42 PANAMAX MAX LENGTH: 965 FEET 294 M. POST- PANAMAX MAX LENGTH: 1,265 FEET 385.6M MAX BEAM: 106 FEET 32.5 M. MAX DRAFT: 39.5 FEET 12 M. MAX DRAFT: 50 FEET 15.2M MAX BEAM: 180 FEET 53.9M

43 Major Areas of Study SOCIO- ENVIRONMENTAL MARKET LOCKS WATER DRAFT SOCIO- ECONOMIC IMPACT FINANCIAL RISK FINANCING STRUCTURE TRAFFIC RISK LEGAL STRUCTURE REVENUES PRICING SGTRATEGY COMMUNICATION STRATEGY

44 Market Research and Analysis Long-term traffic forecasts, sensitivity and risk analysis Marketing visits to major Canal users, shipowners, shippers, and maritime organizations Independent long-term traffic forecast Detailed market segments analysis will continue for remainder of this year, along with evaluations of transportation alternatives

45 Water Studies Reconnaissance studies with USACE-Mobile ( ) 30 possible projects 19 projects 5 projects Initial evaluation Final evaluation and ranking Selection of projects with greatest potential

46 Projects that require new dam construction

47 Projects under study and their potential for increasing the watershed s available capacity Coclé del Norte 40+ (with Caño Sucio & Río Indio ) Coclé del Norte 40+ (with tunnel to Río Indio ) Storage/Pumping from 31 Coclé del Norte to Toabré (with Caño Sucio & Río Indio ) Coclé del Norte at 65M 25 (with tunnel to Río Indio ) Toabré and Caño Sucio 23 (with Río Indio ) Caño Sucio ( Río Indio ) 14 Río Indio 11 Alto Chagres 8 * One lockage represents 55 million gallons of water. Gatún Lake deepening 6 Lower Trinidad 4 Recycling ponds 4 Gatún Locks Cirí Grande 3 Salud 2 Raise Gatún Lake level 2 Raise Madden Lake level 1 Lagarto 1 Pacora (potable water) 1 Caimito (potable water) 1 Pumping one lockage 1 of saltwater to Gatún Lake

48 Water Studies Full-feasibility study of: the deepening of Gatun Lake to increase active storage and a new reservoir at Río Indio

49 Gatún Lake Operations Operation Levels 39.5 Draft Current Ship Draft Elev Phase I (initial) Ship 5.0 Elev Phase II (final) Ship Elev Draft

50 Post-Panamax Vessel and Lock Sizes Post-Panamax Measurements Vessel Locks Beam 53.9m (180') 61 m (200') Length 385.6m (1,265') 426.8m (1,400') Draft 15.2m (50') 18.3 m (60')

51 Vessel Size and Post-Panamax Locks

52 New Locks Analysis of new lock alignment channels was completed - reducing potential sites from 24 to two on each end of the Canal

53 Various Alignments of Locks Evaluated Start: Atlantic 8 Pacific 16 Initial Evaluation: Atlantic 3 Pacific 5 Final Evaluation: Atlantic 2 Pacific 2

54 Alignment Channels Pacific Side Just one set of locks on the Pacific Side Takes advantage of the 1939 excavation Requires a coffer dam in Miraflores Lake Pedro Miguel Locks Coffer Dam Miraflores Locks Explosives Area Flooded Area Excavated Area New Locks 3 levels Flooded Area Alignment Channel

55 Alignment Channel Pacific Side Just one set of locks on the Pacific Side Makes use of topography to isolate Miraflores Lake Pedro Miguel Locks Miraflores Locks Auxiliary Dam Water-Saving Basins Pacific Ocean Auxiliary Flooded Dam Area Auxiliary Dam Third Set of Locks Miraflores- 3 levels

56 Alignment Channel Atlantic Side A1 Takes advantage of 1939 excavation A2 Optimal integration of Canal Operation 1939 Excavation French Canal Water-Saving Basins Third Set of Locks 3 Levels Gatun Locks A1 Proposed Third Locks Gatun Lake A2

57 Type and Size of Gates Berendrecht: sea lock at the Port of Antwerp. # Berendrecht lock chamber: 500 m by 68 m by 13.5 m # Panama Canal project lock chamber: m by 61 m by 18.3 m

58 Type and Size of Gates Model of Sliding Gates in Zeebrugge and Berendrecht, Belgium, showing flotation chambers and construction detail

59 Type and Size of Gates Closed Gate Width of chamber: 66 m. Recessed gate Engine Room in background

60 Required Maximum Heights of Gates Atlantic Pacific Maximum Height of Gate feet meters feet meters One Level Two Levels Three Levels

61 Type and Size of Gates The analysis shows that for the required height and width, the best option are the rolling gates This type of gate is used in Post- Panamax locks in Europe They are operated by means of cables and drums Maintenance is performed within a gate slot, once isolated from the chamber by means of a bulkhead

62 Lateral Basins Lateral Basins in Germany save on water use

63 Operation of Water-Saving and Recycling System

64 Navigational Channels Initial design parameters defined for vessels with 45m (150 ) beam Excavation volumes estimated for 14m (46 ) and 15.3m (50 ) draft Consultations held with largest dredging companies

65 Environmental and Socio-economic Evaluations Studies for the Western Region of the Canal Watershed with support from the Interamerican Development Bank (IDB) Major contracts awarded for the gathering of environmental and socioeconomic data

66 Economic and Financial Issues Presentation of ACP s annual results, market conditions and corporate outlook at the New York and London financial and investment markets Market feedback Developed Economic/financial action plan

67 Economic and Financial Issues Action plan includes: risk mapping corporate economic value legal analysis credit rating financing plan

68 Study plans SOCIO- ENVIRONMENTAL MARKET LOCKS WATER DRAFT SOCIO- ECONOMIC IMPACT FINANCIAL RISK FINANCING STRUCTURE TRAFFIC RISK LEGAL STRUCTURE REVENUES PRICING SGTRATEGY COMMUNICATION STRATEGY

69 The Panama Canal: Modernization and Expansion 26th Annual Summer Ports, Waterways, Freight & International Trade Conference June 26, 2001 Galveston, Texas Rodolfo Sabonge Director, Corporate Planning and Marketing Panama Canal Authority

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