A Clean Diesel State of Mind Top States for Diesel Drivers

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1 A Clean Diesel State of Mind Top States for Diesel Drivers Growing Clean Diesel Cars, Trucks and SUVs: June 4, :00 pm ET Press Conference #cleandiesel

2 Today s Virtual Press Conference Welcome and Housekeeping Items Logistics and Format Asking and Submitting Questions Availability of Materials Agenda - Presentation Allen Schaeffer, Executive Director Release of new 50 state diesel car, truck and SUV data and analysis Perspectives on the future for clean diesel cars Questions & Answers

3 About the Diesel Technology Forum AGCO BorgWarner BOSCH Caterpillar Inc. Chrysler CNH Industrial Cummins Inc. Daimler Delphi Automotive Deere & Company Ford Motor Company General Motors Honeywell Isuzu Motors Johnson Matthey Mazda North American Operations Navistar Volvo Group Volkswagen Group of America Yanmar Allied Members Association of Diesel Specialists National Biodiesel Board Western States Petroleum Association

4 Background and Methodology Allen Schaeffer Executive Director

5 Background Clean diesel technology is emerging as an increasingly popular option for new car buyers. Resurgence in clean diesel technology in the U.S. since 2006 Fuel economy, performance, proven, long-term value contribute to growing acceptance Clean diesel seen as a technology to contribute to meeting 2025 CAFE requirements of 52.5 mpg

6 Impact of clean diesel technology in light-duty vehicles now showing up in President Obama s All- Of-The-Above Energy Strategy (May 2014) The initial decline in the level of [fuel] consumption is due in part to the recession, but much of the lower projection for the coming decades reflects unforeseen efficiency improvements stemming from the 2012 lightduty vehicle fuel economy standards, along with some projected switching to diesel in the light-duty fleet. (page 10; emphasis added)

7 Methodology The Diesel Technology Forum commissioned R.L. Polk and Company to secure vehicle registration data for all 50 states from January 1, 2013 to December 31, Goal was to evaluate the trends in clean diesel and hybrid registrations nationwide, to identify geographic and other trends in 2013 and compare to previous years. Analysis covered 1. Passenger cars, light-duty trucks, vans and SUVs. Identified clean diesel and hybrid vehicles. 2. Heavy-duty pickup trucks (> 8500lbs gvwr) gasoline and diesel

8 Methodology Our analysis includes the The top states for.. clean diesel car, SUVs, pickup trucks and vans. fastest growth of clean diesels fastest growth of clean diesels and hybrids; total clean diesel and hybrid registrations;

9 Findings...

10 Units National Registration Trends: Consumer acceptance of new clean diesel technology and hybrids is growing Registrations of Diesel Cars and Trucks 2.5 X that of hybrids Years Source R.L. Polk and Company, March 2014 Total Diesel Total Hybrid Diesel SUV & Car Diesel Truck Diesel Van Diesel car registrations up 30%; Hybrids up 64%

11 West Dominates with Highest Percentage of Diesel Cars, SUVs, Pickup Trucks and Vans (2013) State Percent Total Vehicles 1) Wyoming ,632 2) Montana ,454 3) Idaho ,306 4) Alaska ,548 5) North Dakota ,833 6) South Dakota ,444 7) Oregon ,976 8) Utah ,385 9) New Mexico ,352 10) Colorado ,906

12 Fastest Growth Diesel Cars, SUVs, Pickup Trucks and Vans North Dakota 2. DC 3. Illinois 4. Delaware 5. Idaho 6. New Jersey 7. Ohio 8. South Dakota 9. Texas 10.Arizona

13 Land of Lincoln Leads As State with Fastest Growing Clean Diesel Car & SUV Registrations Top Ten States for Clean Diesel Car & SUV Registrations Fastest Growing Registrations (% increase ) 1. Illinois 2. Arizona 3. California North Dakota (tie) 5. Mississippi 6. Texas 7. Idaho 8. Wyoming 9. Arkansas IL AZ CA ND DE MS TX ID WY AR Source: 2013 Data from R.L. Polk and Company

14 Texas, California Lead the Pack for Top Ten States for Diesel Pickup Truck Registrations 1. Texas 2. California 3. Florida 4. Washington 5. Colorado 6. Pennsylvania 7. Oregon 8. North Carolina 9. Georgia 10. Ohio

15 Fastest Growing States for Diesel Pickup Registrations ( ) State Percent Increase ) North Dakota ) Vermont ) Illinois ) Idaho ) Delaware ) New Hampshire ) South Dakota ) Massachusetts ) Texas ) Rhode Island 7.10

16 Fuel Efficient Vehicles Combined (Clean Diesel & Hybrid Vehicles) Top 50 States

17 California, Texas, Florida States with Most Fuel- Efficient vehicles (Most Clean Diesels & Hybrids Combined) 1. California 2. Texas 3. Florida 4. Washington 5. New York 6. Pennsylvania 7. Illinois 8. North Carolina 9. Georgia 10. Ohio

18 Top Ten States for Total Diesel Cars, SUVs, Pickup Trucks and Vans compared to Hybrids State 2013 Diesel Total 2013 Hybrid Total 1) Texas 837, ,557 2) California 609, ,560 3) Florida 314, ,885 4) Washington 245, ,429 5) Pennsylvania 226,574 86,499 6) Colorado 198,906 56,689 7) North Carolina 197,305 77,943 8) Ohio 191,924 69,739 9) Georgia 189,018 76,168 10) Oregon 188,976 59,465 National Totals 7,068,439 2,826,885

19 Factors Driving Clean Diesel Car Success More clean diesel choices will drive further market growth Diesel Choices for Consumers (Cars, SUVs, Vans and HD Diesel Pick Ups) Diesel Choices for Consumers

20 Factors Driving Clean Diesel Car Success Diesel fuel more widely available today than ever before and growing! Finding Diesel Fuel Not a problem with more than half of all retail fuel sites in the U.S. offering diesel fuel - and more coming each day. Percent of Fuel Location Stations in US and Canada offering Diesel East Coast 51% Midwest 54% Gulf Coast 61% West Coast 54% Canada 69% Rocky Mountain 65% Overall Average 55% Diesel Fuel Locator Locator Apps, QR Codes & Search Services Provide One-Stop Shop to Aid Diesel Car Drivers Source: Integer-Research, May 2014 (UNPUBLISHED) 20

21 Diesel to be # 1 Transport Fuel by 2020 according key Energy Authorities ExxonMobil: Diesel will surpass gasoline as the number one global transportation fuel by Diesel demand will account for 70% of the growth in demand for all transportation fuels through the forecast period to Although natural gas will play a greater role as a transportation fuel by 2040, it will remain only a small share of the global transportation fuel mix, at 4% by 2040, up from today s 1%, according to ExxonMobil s forecast. The World Energy Outlook: Diesel fuel will remain the dominant growth fuel between now and 2035, according to the International Energy Agency. Globally, the report suggests the possibility of only a 2% share of natural gas in the heavy-duty transport market by The National Petroleum Council in its 2012 report Advancing Technology for America s Transportation Future for the U.S. Department of Energy stated: Diesel engines will remain the powertrain of choice for HD (heavy-duty) vehicles for decades to come because of their power and efficiency." 21

22 Conclusions Clean diesel technology is emerging as an increasingly popular option for new car buyers. Real-world fuel economy, performance, proven, long-term value have solidified clean diesel as a preferred advanced technology choice Fuel saving impacts of switching from gasoline to diesel in light duty vehicles now recognized in President Obama s All-Of-The- Above Energy Strategy for a Sustainable Economic Growth Plan Growth in future diesel options recognizes key role in Clean diesel in meeting future vehicle fuel efficiency requirements (CAFE standards mpg/2025)

23 Clean diesel vehicles impacts already being felt in lower emissions, CO2 CO2 savings equivalent to removing annual emissions from 2.2 coal fired power plants for a year. The 2.9M light-duty new clean diesels introduced from 2005 through 2012 have saved the American consumer: 7.6M tonnes of CO 2 1.2B gallons of gasoline 29M barrels of crude oil These reductions are equivalent to: Removing 1.6M vehicles from the road for a year Carbon sequestration from 6.2M acres of forests This is an equivalent forest the size of Vermont Removing the annual emissions from 2.2 coal fired power plants 32,000 railcars of coal stretching continuously from Boston to Philadelphia Roughly 11% of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve for sweet crude. Source: Martec Research, Detroit MI ; 2013 for the Diesel Technology Forum

24 Summary 30 percent increase in diesel registrations ( ); second consecutive period of double-digit growth. (overall auto industry market growth 3.7%). Hybrid growth: 64.5 % Clean Diesel Technology has universal appeal across the U.S. red states, blue states, urban and rural. Texas, California, Florida Top registrations of clean diesels & hybrids Illinois, Arizona, California fastest growing diesel cars and SUVs North Dakota, District of Columbia and Illinois fastest growing diesel cars, trucks, vans, SUVs Wyoming, Montana, Idaho- Highest percentage diesel cars, trucks, vans, SUVs Wyoming, Utah, Montana- Highest percentage of diesel pick up trucks North Dakota, Vermont, Illinois- fastest growing diesel pick up trucks.

25 Thank You

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