CO emissions (Gt CO /yr)

Transcription

1 CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) Data: CDIAC/GCP/BP/USGS %/yr %/yr Projection Gt CO 2.% (.8% 3.%) 216: 36.2 Gt CO

2 12 Data: CDIAC/GCP CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) China.3% Growth over 215 USA 2.1% EU28.3% India +4.5%

3 CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) Data: CDIAC/GCP Projected Gt CO in 217 All others % (+.5% to +4.%) China % (+.7% to +5.4%) USA 5.3.4% ( 2.7% to +1.9%) EU % ( 2.% to +1.6%) India % (+.2% to +3.8%)

4 CO emissions (tco /person/yr) Data: CDIAC/GCP USA 16.5 t/p in 216 China 7.2 EU World 4.2 India 1.8

5 Data: CDIAC/GCP/IEA/IMF CO emissions (kgco /USD/yr) China.53 USA.31 India.3 World.29 EU28.19

6 16 Data: CDIAC/GCP +1.2%/yr CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) %/yr.6%/yr 1.8%/yr +5.5%/yr China USA EU28 India Rest of World

7 Data: CDIAC/GCP/IMF 1% 9% Proportion of global total 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% % Global Carbon Project MER PPP Cumulative Production Consumption Population GDP All others India EU28 USA China

8 37. Data: CDIAC/GCP CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) India +.11 USA.1 Russia.4 Brazil.4 Others World 215 World 216

9 4 Data: CDIAC/GCP CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) Bunkers Rest of Non OECD Russia India China 1 Rest of OECD Japan OECD Europe 5 USA

10 1% Data: CDIAC/GCP Proportion of global total 8% 6% 4% 2% % All others Japan Russia India EU28 USA China

11 Proportion of global total 1% 8% 6% 4% 2% Data: CDIAC/GCP Oceania Middle East South America North America Africa Asia Europe %

12 CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) Data: CDIAC/GCP Coal 14.5 Gt CO in 216 Oil 12.5 Gas 7. Cement % 1.5% 1.5% 1.%

13 16 Data: CDIAC/GCP.6%/yr CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) %/yr +1.5%/yr +2.4%/yr +1.3%/yr Coal Oil Gas Cement Flaring

14 Energy Consumption (Mtoe/yr) Global Carbon Project Data: BP.7%/yr +1.4%/yr +1.5%/yr Annual global energy consumption from Annual growth rates from %/yr +2.1%/yr +14.%/yr Coal Oil Gas Nuclear Hydro Other Renewables

15 37. Data: CDIAC/GCP CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) Coal.2 Oil +.22 Gas +.12 Cement Total 215 Total 216

16 CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) Data: CDIAC/GCP/IEA/IMF/Peters et al Dissolution of Soviet Union US savings and loan crisis Oil crisis Asian financial crisis Global financial crisis 217 is projected Carbon intensity (gco /$US)

17 Data: CDIAC/GCP/UN Data year: 216 Emissions intensity (kgco /USD) Global Carbon Project CHN RUS USA IND JPN GDP PPP (trillion USD) DEU IDN BRA GBR FRA World average.3 kg/usd

18 Net CO emissions (GtCO ) Net CO emissions (GtCO ) SSP5: Rapid growth Baseline 6. W/m² 4.5 W/m² 3.4 W/m² 2.6 W/m² Adaptation Low challenges SSP1: Sustainability Mitigation High challenges SSP2: Middle of the road Mitigation Low challenges SSP3: Regional rivalry SSP4: Inequality Adaptation High challenges <6 C <5 C <4 C <3 C <2 C <6 C <5 C <4 C <3 C <2 C

19 Emissions from fossil fuels and land use change (GtCO /yr) Data: SSP database (IIASA)/GCP Scenario group Baseline (3 5.1 C) 6. W/m² ( C) 4.5 W/m² ( C) 3.4 W/m² ( C) 2.6 W/m² ( C) net negative global emissions <6 C <5 C <4 C <3 C <2 C

20 6 Data: SSP Database (IIASA)/GCP Emissions from fossil fuels and land-use change (GtCO /yr) Estimate Historical net-negative global emissions

21 6 12 CO emissions (GtCO /yr) Gross World Product (trillion USD)

22 2. Data: CDIAC/GCP/IEA/BP/IMF Relative growth GWP CO FFI Energy CO /Energy.8 Energy/GWP

23 Per capita CO emissions (tco /p) Global Carbon Project Data: CDIAC/GCP/UN USA RUS CHN EU Population (billions) BRA IDN Data year: 216 IND PAK NGA BGD World average 4.8 t/p

24 12 Data: CDIAC/GCP/Peters et al 211 CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) Production emissions Consumption emissions China USA EU28 India

25 Data: CDIAC/GCP/Peters et al CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) Production emissions Consumption emissions Non Annex B Annex B Emissions transfer

26 9 Data: GCP CO emissions (Gt CO /yr)

27 CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) Data: CDIAC/GCP Fossil fuels and cement Land use change

28 CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) Data: CDIAC/GCP Land use change Others Gas Oil Coal

29 1% Data: CDIAC/GCP Others Gas Proportion of global total 8% 6% 4% 2% % Oil Coal Land use change

30 4 Data: CDIAC/NOAA ESRL/GCP/Joos et al 213 CO flux (Gt CO /yr) Total estimated sources do not match total estimated sinks. This imbalance reflects the gap in our understanding. Fossil fuels and industry Land use change Ocean sink Land sink Atmosphere

31 CO emissions (Gt CO /yr) CO flux (Gt CO /yr) Data: GCP 4 Fossil fuels and industry Land use change Global Carbon Project Budget imbalance CO partitioning (Gt CO /yr) Atmospheric growth Land sink Ocean sink

32 25 Data: NOAA ESRL/GCP CO partitioning (Gt CO /yr)

33 15 Data: GCP CO (Gt CO /yr)

34 CO (Gt CO /yr) Data: GCP 25 Land sink Land use change emissions Total land

35 1 Data: GCP Tropics North 2 CO (Gt CO /yr) South

36 15 Data: GCP 1 CO (Gt CO /yr)

37 CO concentration (ppm) Data: CDIAC/NOAA ESRL/GCP/Joos et al ppm Coal +92 ppm Oil +7 ppm Gas +3 ppm Cement +6 ppm Land use +88 ppm 13 ppm Imbalance Land sink 88 ppm Ocean sink 69 ppm 43 ppm 2 Atmosphere in 187 Global Carbon Project Atmosphere in 216

38 Data: Scripps/NOAA ESRL CO concentration (ppm) Monthly mean Seasonally corrected trend

39 45 Data: GCP/Tans & Keeling 217 Carbon dioxide (GtCO /y) Total emissions Fossil fuels & industry Atmospheric increase

40 Atmospheric Growth Rate (GtCO /yr) Observations Reconstructed 2 std. dev. Variability (1 std. dev.) %/yr.%/yr 1.%/yr Growth rate of CO emissions

41 Data: Tans & Keeling / Scripps January Measured monthly averages Forecast 217 CO concentration by Met Office Hadley Centre Forecast monthly averages Forecast annual average 46.8 December Atmospheric CO at Mauna Loa (ppm)