Market Briefing: Global Markets
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1 Market Briefing: Global Markets September 26, 217 Dr. Edward Yardeni Mali Quintana Please visit our sites at blog. thinking outside the box
2 Table Of Contents Table Of Contents US Stock Indexes 1 MSCI Indexes 2-5 Stock Markets: USA 6 Stock Markets: Americas 7 Stock Markets: Europe 8-9 Stock Markets: Asia 1-11 Stock Markets: Eastern Europe, Middle East, Africa 12 US$ Forex Rates: Europe 13 US$ Forex Rates: Asia 14 US$ Forex Rates: Americas 15 Trade-Weighted Dollar 16 1-Year Government Yields 17 Commodity Indexes 18 Commodity Prices: Energy 19 Commodity Prices: Precious Metals 2 Commodity Prices: Agriculture 21 September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
3 US Stock Indexes 2 2 Figure 1. S&P INDEX Source: Standard & Poor s Corporation Figure 2. DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS AVERAGE Source: The Wall Street Journal Page 1 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
4 Figure 3. SHARE PRICE INDEXES (US dollars) World MSCI Indexes Europe 2 2 EAFE* 2 2 * The following countries are included: Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom, Israel, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Hong Kong, and Japan. Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International. Page 2 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
5 MSCI Indexes 2 23 Figure 4. SHARE PRICE INDEXES (US dollars) World US World EAFE* *Europe, Austrailia, and Far East. Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International. World Emerging Markets Page 3 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
6 MSCI Indexes 3 Figure 5. SHARE PRICE INDEXES (US dollars) World Japan World United Kingdom World EMU Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International Page 4 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
7 MSCI Indexes Figure 6. SHARE PRICE INDEXES (ratio scale, US dollars) Emerging Markets Emerging Markets: Asia Emerging Markets: Latin America 2 Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International. Page 5 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
8 Figure 7. DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS Stock Markets: USA NASDAQ S&P RUSSELL WILSHIRE S&P TRANSPORTATION NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE S&P UTILITIES Source: Reuters America, Inc and Standard and Poor s Corporation. Page 6 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
9 Stock Markets: Americas 2 Figure 8. UNITED STATES MSCI (all indexes in US dollars) ARGENTINA MSCI CANADA MSCI CHILE MSCI MEXICO MSCI PERU MSCI Source: BRAZIL Morgan MSCI Stanley Capital International and Haver Analytics Source: Reuters America, Inc and Standard and Poor s Corporation. Page 7 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
10 2 2 Figure 9. EUROPE MSCI (all indexes in US dollars) Stock Markets: Europe IRELAND MSCI FRANCE MSCI ITALY MSCI GERMANY MSCI NETHERLANDS MSCI GREECE MSCI SPAIN MSCI Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International and Haver Analytics. Page 8 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
11 Figure 1. SWEDEN MSCI (all indexes in US dollars) Stock Markets: Europe SWITZERLAND MSCI 3 3 UNITED KINGDOM MSCI STOCK PRICE INDEX. Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International and Haver Analytics. Page 9 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
12 Figure 11. AUSTRALIA MSCI STOCK PRICE INDEX (all indexes in US dollars) Stock Markets: Asia CHINA MSCI / JAPAN MSCI 9/26 HONG KONG MSCI SOUTH KOREA MSCI 9/26 TAIWAN MSCI 9/ SINGAPORE MSCI 9/ Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International and Haver Analytics. 1 Page 1 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
13 Stock Markets: Asia Figure 12. INDONESIA MSCI (US$) THE PHILIPPINES MSCI 9/26 9/ MALAYSIA MSCI INDIA MSCI 9/26 9/ THAILAND MSCI PAKISTAN MSCI 25 9/ / Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International and Haver Analytics. Page 11 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
14 Stock Markets: Eastern Europe, Middle East, Africa Figure 13. RUSSIA MSCI (US$) ISRAEL MSCI POLAND MSCI TURKEY MSCI HUNGARY MSCI EGYPT MSCI CZECH REPUBLIC MSCI SOUTH AFRICA MSCI Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International and Haver Analytics. Page 12 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
15 Figure 14. EUROPE ($/Euro) UNITED KINGDOM ($/Pound) SWEDEN (Krona/$) SWITZERLAND (Swiss Franc/$) US$ Forex Rates: Europe Source: Haver Analytics. 1.4 Page 13 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
16 US$ Forex Rates: Asia Figure 15. JAPAN (Yen/$) CHINA (Yuan/$) 9/ AUSTRALIA (inverted scale, A$/US$) MALAYSIA (Ringgit/$) /26 9/ SOUTH KOREA (Won/$) INDONESIA (Rupiah/$) 9/ INDIA (Rupee/$, inverted scale) THAILAND (Baht/$) Source: Haver Analytics. Page 14 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
17 US$ Forex Rates: Americas Figure 16. CANADA (C$/US$) MEXICO (Peso/$) BRAZIL (Real/$) ARGENTINA (Peso/$) CHILE (Peso/$) VENEZUELA (Bolivar Fuerte/$) 9/ COLOMBIA (Peso/$) PERU (New Sol/$) Source: Morgan Stanley Capital International. Page 15 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
18 Trade-Weighted Dollar Figure 17. JP MORGAN TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX* (=1, daily) Trade-Weighted Dollar (115.98) * Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Bulgaria, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, Croatia, Czech Rep., Denmark, Ecuador, Egypt, Hong Kong, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Israel, Japan, Korea, Kuwait, Malaysia, Mexico, Morocco, New Zealand, Nigeria, Norway, Pakistan, Panama, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Romania, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, South Africa, Sweden, Switzerland, Taiwan, Thailand, Turkey, Ukraine, UK, Uruguay, US, Venezuela, Vietnam, & Euro Area. Source: JP Morgan Figure 18. FED S TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEXES (daily) Major* (3/73=1) Broad** (1/97=1) /22 9/ * Major index is a weighted average of the foreign exchange rates of the US dollar against the Euro Area, Australia, Canada, Japan, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom, ** Broad index is a weighted average of the foreign exchange rates of the US dollar against the Euro Area, Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Ireland, Israel, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, Mexico, Philippines, Russia, Singapore, Spain, Saudi Arabia, Sweden, Switzerland, Taiwan, Thailand, United Kingdom, and Venezuela. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Page 16 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
19 1-Year Government Yields Figure 19. UNITED STATES GERMANY CANADA SWEDEN 6/ UNITED KINGDOM JAPAN day moving average Source: MMS International and Haver Analytics. Page 17 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
20 Figure 2. CRB FUTURES PRICE INDEX (1967=1) Commodity Indexes Source: Haver Analytics Figure 21. CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS SPOT PRICE INDEXES (1967=1) CRB Raw Industrials Spot Price Index (511.9) Metals Component* (888.) * Includes scrap copper, lead scrap, steel scrap, tin, and zinc. Source: Haver Analytics. Page 18 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
21 Figure 22. WEST TEXAS INTERMEDIATE CRUDE OIL PRICE (dollars per barrel) Commodity Prices: Energy HEATING OIL FUTURES PRICE* (dollar per gallon) BRENT CRUDE OIL FUTURES PRICE* (dollars per barrel) NATURAL GAS FUTURES PRICE* (dollar per MMBTU) * Nearby futures price. GASOLINE FUTURES PRICE* (dollars per gallon) * Nearby contract. Source: Haver Analytics. Page 19 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
22 Figure 23. GOLD FUTURES PRICE* (dollars per troy ounce) SILVER FUTURES PRICE* (dollars per troy ounce) PLATINUM FUTURES PRICE* (dollars per troy ounce) Commodity Prices: Precious Metals PALLADIUM SPOT PRICE ($/troy oz) 9/19 * Nearby contract. Source: Haver Analytics. Page 2 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
23 Figure 24. CORN FUTURES PRICE* (cents per bushel) Commodity Prices: Agriculture SOYBEANS FUTURES PRICE* (cents per bushel) WHEAT FUTURES PRICE* (cents per bushel) COTTON FUTURES PRICE* ($/pound) * Nearby contract, closing price. Source: Haver Analytics. 1 5 Page 21 / September 26, 217 / Market Briefing: Global Markets
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