Shemen Industries Ltd.
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1 Shemen Industries Ltd.
2 מפגש לקוחות תחום הזנת בעלי חיים
3 I יבוא לארץ 3
4 היקף יבוא מוצרי מספוא )אלפי טון( )תירס, חיטת מספוא, שעורה, דורה, כוספאות ומוצרים( 3,500 כוספאות ומוצרים גרעינים 3,000 2, ,000 1,500 2,188 2,342 2,194 2,123 2,292 2,223 2,311 2,537 2,380 1, Source: Israel Ministry of Agriculture 4
5 ייבוא גרעינים לישראל מקור: משרד החקלאות
6 6 יבוא וייצור כוספת לפתית מקור: שמן תעשיות
7 יבוא וייצור כוספת סויה מקור: שמן תעשיות ייצור סו ר ייצור מ ייצור סו ר ייצור מ י וא ייצור י וא מ י וא ייצור
8 ייבוא קמחים לישראל מקור: משרד החקלאות 8
9 9 ייבוא פולי סויה לפי שנים מקור: משרד החקלאות
10 10 ייבוא כוספאות לפי שנים מקור: משרד החקלאות
11 II ביקוש והיצע - דו"חות 11
12 400 US planted areas (M acres) Small Sorghum Cotton Conservation Hay All Wheat Soybeans Corn Mar-11 Jun-11 Final 2011 Mar-12 12
13 250,000 US Acreage of 3 major crops (M acres) Soybeans All Wheat Corn 200,000 72,025 73,730 74,266 74,075 73,963 73,404 75,208 72,032 75,522 64,741 75,718 77,451 77,400 75,000 73, , ,000 65,799 62,814 62,946 59,617 60,358 60,940 59,674 57,229 57,873 60,433 63,457 59,133 53,600 54,400 55,908 50,000 80,165 77,386 79,551 75,752 78,894 78,603 80,929 81,779 78,327 93,527 85,982 86,482 88,200 91,900 95, May 11/12 May 12/13 Proj. source : Grain Supply/Demand 13
14 Ending stock Stock to Use 13% U.S Soybean Carry-Out and Stock To Use as % (Mb) 16% 19% 20.0% 15.0% % 10.0% % 9% 7% 6% 9% 7% 7% 7% 200 5% 5% 5% 4% 5.0% /98 98/99 99/00 00/01 01/02 02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 May source: Grain Supply/Demand 12/13 Proj. May %
15 15
16 US Soybean Average Yield /00 00/01 01/02 02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 May 11/12 May 12/13 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 Ending stock World soybean Carry-Out and Stock To Use as % (MMT) 20.38% 20.00% Stock to Use 18.53% 18.00% % 16.00% % % 14.00% % /9 2009/10 May 2011/12 Proj. May 2012/ % source: Grain Supply/Demand 21
22 8.50% /12 World Soybean Carry- Out and Stock to Use estimation elaboration (MMT) 8.00% 7.50% % 17.86% Ending stock Stock to Use % 7.00% 6.50% % % 6.00% % % 5.00% DEC 2011/12 source : Grain Supply/Demand JAN 2011/12 FEB 2011/12 MARCH 2011/12 APR 2011/12 MAY 2011/12 22
23 1.00% /12 World Soybean Carry- Out and Stock to Use estimation Elaboration (MMT) 0.00% % 19.47% 20.20% 19.88% 19.94% 19.94% 20.05% 19.98% 9.00% Ending stock 18.99% 8.00% Stock to Use 18.23% 18.23% % 7.00% 6.00% % 16.55% 5.00% FEB MAR APR MAY June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb March source : Grain Supply/Demand 23
24 24
25 China s Imports Jan-Mar (1,000 tonnes). Source: Reuters, Jefferies Bache, LLC 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 2,000 1,500 Ending stock Stock to Use U.S Corn Carry-Out and Stock To Use as % (Mb) 19.80% 18.70% 18.90% 17.40% 17.50% 15.60% 14.80% 13.90% 12.80% 13.10% 11.50% 11.60% 20% 15% 13.66% 1, % 9.40% 8.64% 10% 6.72% % 5% - 95/96 96/97 97/98 98/99 99/00 00/01 01/02 02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 source: Grain Supply/Demand May 12/13 Proj. May 29 0%
30 30
31 US Corn Average Yield /96 96/97 97/98 98/99 99/00 00/01 01/02 02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 May May 11/12 12/13 31
32 32
33 160 World Corn Carry-Out and Stock To Use as% (MMT) % Ending stock Stock to Use 20.00% 18.00% % 14.86% 16.00% % 13.23% 14.00% % /9 2009/10 May 2011/12 Proj. May 2012/ % source: Grain Supply/Demand 33
34 4.00% 3.80% 3.60% /12 World Corn Carry- Out and Stock to Use estimation Elaboration (MMT) Ending stock Stock to Use 3.40% % % 13.31% 13.23% 3.00% % 12.90% 2.80% % 2.60% % % % DEC 2011/12 source : Grain Supply/Demand JAN 2011/12 FEB 2011/12 MAR 2011/12 APR 2011/12 MAY 2011/12 34
35 35
36 Monthly Ethanol Production 36
37 U.S. use for Ethanol Grind (mil bu) Source: CITI, EIA, and Renewable 37 Fuels Association
38 U.S. Production of DDG (mil ton) Source: CITI, EIA, FAPRI and 38 Renewable Fuels Association
39 4.00% 3.80% 3.60% 3.40% 3.20% /12 World Corn Carry- Out and Stock to Use Estimated elaboration (MMT) Ending stock Stock to Use 13.60% 13.30% 13.21% 13.17% 13.18% 13.15% 13.15% 13.06% 13.93% 13.81% 13.74% 13.71% 13.80% 13.79% 3.00% % % % % % FEB MAR source : Grain Supply/Demand APR MAY June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 39 March
40 40
41 IV מחירים 41
42 Soy complex (weekly) /11/ /09/ /06/ /04/ /02/ /01/ /29/ /25/ /23/ /22/ /20/ /18/ /16/ /12/ /11/ /09/ /07/ /05/ /03/ /30/ /28/ /26/ /25/ /23/ /20/ /18/ /16/ /14/ /13/ /11/ /09/ /05/ /03/ /01/ /30/ /28/ /24/ /23/ /21/ /19/ /17/ /15/ /11/ /10/ /08/ /06/ /04/ /02/ /30/ /24/ /22/ /20/ /17/ /14/ /13/ /11/ /09/ /07/2002 Soybean Meal US$/MT Soybean US$/MT Soybean Oil US$/MT
43 /11/ /24/ /09/ /23/ /08/ /21/ /04/ /19/ /03/ /18/ /01/ /15/ /30/ /14/ /29/ /13/ /26/ /10/ /25/ /09/ /22/ /07/ /21/ /06/ /20/ /02/ /17/ /01/ /16/ /31/ /13/ /28/ /12/ /27/ /11/ /23/ /08/ /23/ /07/ /20/ /31/ /15/ /30/ /14/ /27/ /11/ /26/2002 Corn July 2012 (weekly)
44 44 Soybean / Corn Spread /11/ /02/ /23/ /14/ /05/ /27/ /18/ /07/ /29/ /20/ /11/ /01/ /22/ /13/ /04/ /26/ /17/ /06/ /28/ /19/ /11/ /02/ /22/ /14/ /05/ /27/ /18/ /09/ /29/ /20/ /11/ /02/ /24/ /13/ /04/ /26/ /17/ /08/ /28/ /19/ /10/ /02/ /23/ /13/ /31/ /22/ /13/ /04/ /24/ /15/ /06/ /28/2002
45 45 Soybean meal /Corn Spread /11/ /02/ /23/ /14/ /05/ /27/ /18/ /07/ /29/ /20/ /11/ /01/ /22/ /13/ /04/ /26/ /17/ /06/ /28/ /19/ /11/ /02/ /22/ /14/ /05/ /27/ /18/ /09/ /29/ /20/ /11/ /02/ /24/ /13/ /04/ /26/ /17/ /08/ /28/ /19/ /10/ /02/ /23/ /13/ /31/ /22/ /13/ /04/ /24/ /15/ /06/ /28/2002
46 46 JULY DEC Corn Spread /11/ /27/ /13/ /29/ /15/ /01/ /15/ /01/ /18/ /03/ /16/ /02/ /17/ /03/ /20/ /06/ /22/ /08/ /24/ /10/ /27/ /13/ /28/ /14/ /31/ /16/ /02/ /15/ /01/ /18/ /04/ /17/ /03/ /20/ /05/ /21/ /07/ /22/ /08/ /25/ /11/ /27/ /13/ /27/ /13/ /30/ /16/ /01/ /17/ /03/ /19/2010
47 /11/ /02/ /23/ /12/ /02/ /22/ /13/ /02/ /22/ /10/ /01/ /23/ /11/ /30/ /20/ /09/ /30/ /18/ /09/ /31/ /20/ /11/ /30/ /21/ /12/ /31/ /22/ /11/ /02/ /22/ /13/ /01/ /22/ /13/ /02/ /23/ /12/ /03/ /21/ /12/ /01/ /23/ /14/ /03/ /22/ /10/ /01/ /21/ /11/ /31/ /21/ /10/ /01/ /19/ /10/2010 JULY DEC Soybean Meal Spread
48 השוואה 2012/13 ל- 2008/9 48
49 US Soybean Supply and Use - US (acres/mb) / / / Est Acres Planted % Harvested Acres Harvested Average yield Carry-In Production Imports TOTAL SUPPLY 5 Crush Exports Seed Feed/Residual TOTAL USAGE 5 Ending Stocks Stocks-to Use %. %.5%. % 49
50 WORLD Soybeans Supply and Use, 12/13 08/09 09/10 Est BEGINNING STOCKS South America U.S World PRODUCTION South America U.S World IMPORTS.. 5. Thereof China Domestic Usage Thereof China China as % Domestic Thereof US Rest of the World EXPORTS ENDING STOCKS South America U.S China Other World Stocks to Use %. % 5.5%. % 50
51 51 הובלה ימית
52 Dry bulk Indexes 52
53 Dry bulk Indexes 53
54 54
55 Thank you!! 55
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