DRAFT TANKER TRAFFIC STREAM ANALYSIS USING AIS CROSSING LINE COUNTS. Dr. J. Rene van Dorp and Dr. Jason R.W Merrick April 2016

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1 RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205) TANKER TRAFFIC STREAM ANALYSIS USING AIS CROSSING LINE COUNTS Dr. J. Rene van Dorp and Dr. Jason R.W Merrick April 206 4/5/206 GW-VCU

RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205) Georgia Strait 5 Cherry Point Buoy J 6 Vendovi 4 March Point Six Departure/ Destination Zones:. Buoy J 2. Puget Sound. Georgia Strait 4. March Point 5. Cherry Point 6.

2 RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205) Georgia Strait 5 Cherry Point Buoy J 6 Vendovi 4 March Point Six Departure/ Destination Zones:. Buoy J 2. Puget Sound. Georgia Strait 4. March Point 5. Cherry Point 6. Vendovi Ten AIS Count lines:. Neah Bay 2. Point Roberts. Admiralty Inlet 4. Haro-Strait 5. Boundary Pass 6. Rosario South 7. Rosario North 8. Saddle Bag North 9. Saddle Bag South 0. Bellingham Channel 4/5/ Puget Sound

3 Neah Bay Georgia Strait VTRA 205 Waterway Schematic + AIS s Haro Rosario Point Roberts Bellingham Channel 5 Cherry Point Saddle Bag s 6 Vendovi 4 March Point Buoy J AVERAGE VESSEL COUNT ERROR ATB Cargo Tanker Admiralty Inlet 4/5/206 2 Puget Sound

4 RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205) 4/5/206 ã GW-VCU 4

5 RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205)

6 RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205) # VESSELS CHANGE FROM TANKER - DEPARTING FROM LOCATION ZONES BOUY J PUGET SOUND GEORGIA STRAIT MARCH POINT CHERRY POINT VENDOVI FROM BOUY J PUGET SOUND GEORGIA STRAIT MARCH POINT CHERRY POINT VENDOVI Change Threshold From Zone Variable x x x x5r x5h x6b x6s x x2h x2r x x x26b x26s x x2h x2r x4s X4R x x x x x4s x4r x45s x45r x46s x46r x5h x5r x x x54s x54r x x6b x6r x62b x62r x x64s x64r x Vendovi Cherry Point March Point Georgia Strait Puget Sound Buoy J

7 RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205) TANKERS TRAFFIC STREAM ANALYSIS USING AIS 200 CROSSING LINE DATA Dr. J. Rene van Dorp and Dr. Jason R.W Merrick April 206 4/5/206 GW-VCU 7

8 Neah Bay Georgia Strait VTRA 205 Waterway Schematic + AIS s Haro Rosario Point Roberts Bellingham Channel 5 Cherry Point Saddle Bag s 6 Vendovi 4 March Point Buoy J Admiralty Inlet 4/5/ Puget Sound

9 East West Difference Grand Total MAX ATB Cargo Passenger Tanker Grand Total X X 5H X 5R X 6S X 6B X 4 X 2 Neah Bay Buoy J Georgia Strait 200 TANKER TRAFFIC FROM Buoy J 600 Total 22 Haro Rosario Point Roberts Admiralty Inlet 5 Cherry Point Bellingham Channel Vendovi 4 Saddle Bag s March Point 69 4/5/ Puget Sound

10 North South Difference Grand Total MAX ATB Cargo Passenger Tanker Grand Total Neah Bay Georgia Strait 200 TANKER TRAFFIC FROM Puget Sound 9 Haro Rosario Line Point Roberts 5 Cherry Point Bellingham Channel Vendovi 7 Saddle Bag s 4 March Point Admiralty Inlet Buoy J 4/5/206 X 2 X 2H X 2R X 25 X total X 26B X 26S 2 Puget Sound 0

11 East West Difference Grand Total MAX ATB Cargo Passenger Tanker Grand Total Neah Bay Georgia Strait 200 TANKER TRAFFIC FROM Georgia Strait 242 Haro 244 total X 4S X X X 5 2H X 2R X 4R X 6 Rosario Point Roberts 5 Cherry Point Bellingham Channel Vendovi Saddle Bag s 4 March Point Buoy J Admiralty Inlet 4/5/ Puget Sound

12 RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205) Other 200 AIS Data BOUNDARY PASS North South Grand Total Grand Total Average ATB Cargo Passenger Tanker Grand Total ROSARIO SOUTH North South Difference Grand Total Average ATB Cargo Passenger Tanker Grand Total HARO STRAIT North South Grand Total Grand Total Average ATB Cargo Passenger Tanker Grand Total BELLINGHAM CHANNEL North South Difference Grand Total Average ATB Cargo Passenger Tanker Grand Total ROSARIO NORTH North South Difference Grand Total Average ATB Cargo Passenger Tanker Grand Total SADDLEBAGS NORTH North South Difference Grand Total Average ATB Cargo Passenger Tanker Grand Total SADDLEBAGS SOUTH North South Difference Grand Total Average ATB Cargo Passenger Tanker Grand Total /5/206 GW-VCU 2

13 Georgia Strait 200 TANKER TRAFFIC FROM March Point Point Roberts 5 Cherry Point Bellingham Channel 5 Neah Bay Rosario X 42 X 4 X 4R 6 5 X 45R X 46R X 46S X 45S X 4S 7 total 6 Vendovi Saddle Bag s 4 March Point Buoy J Admiralty Inlet 4/5/206 2 Puget Sound

14 Georgia Strait 200 TANKER TRAFFIC FROM Cherry Point Point Roberts X 5 X 5H X 5R X 52 X 54R 284 total 5 Cherry Point Bellingham Channel Neah Bay X 54S X 56 Haro Rosario Vendovi Saddle Bag s 4 March Point Buoy J Admiralty Inlet 4/5/206 2 Puget Sound 4

15 Neah Bay Georgia Strait 200 TANKER TRAFFIC FROM Vendovi Haro Rosario Point Roberts X 65 X 6 X6R X 64R X 62R X 6B X 62B X 64S 5 Cherry Point Bellingham Channel total 6 Vendovi Saddle Bag s 4 March Point Buoy J Admiralty Inlet 4/5/ Puget Sound

16 RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205)

17 RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205)

18 RISK ASSESSMENT (VTRA 205)

VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY CARGO FV and TANK- FV. Presentation by: J. Rene van Dorp. Draft. CASE S: Delta Port Bunkering Operations

VTRA 2010 TRAFFIC DENSITIES BY CARGO FV and TANK- FV Presentation by: J. Rene van Dorp CASE S: Delta Port 415 Bunkering Operations GWU Personnel: Dr. J. Rene van Dorp VCU Personnel: Dr. Jason R. W. Merrick