Market situation in the Olive oil and Table olives sectors

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1 Market situation in the Olive oil and Table olives sectors Committee for the Common Organisation of the Agricultural Markets Arable crops and olive oil 26 January 2017 Lucie Zolichová, AGRI G.4

2 OLIVE OIL PRODUCTION & CONSUMPTION 2

3 2016/17 vs 2015/16 WORLD -15% EU -20% non-eu -3% Source: International Olive Council & MS declarations 3

4 EU production in 2016/17 8% below 5-year average excl. pomace oil Source: International Olive Council; MS declarations 4

5 MONTHLY EU OLIVE OIL PRODUCTION ( ) Source: MS declarations - Annexe III point A b) et c) du règlement (CE) n 826/ Annex III point A b) and c) of Regulation (EC) No 826/2008 (*) (tonnes) 2016/2017 EL ES FR IT CY MT PT SI HR TOTAL September October November December January February March April 0 May 0 June 0 Total Production Estimation 2016/ Consumption Estimation 2016/ Final Stock Estimation 2016/17 (on 30.9.) (*)Commission Regulation (EC) 826/2008 and Commission implementing regulation (EU) No 65/2013 amending Annex III to Regulation (EC) No 826/2008 Notifications ISAMM (EL, ES, IT, PT, SL) CY, MT- NO ISAMM NOTIFICATIONS. Estimated data or IOC 5

6 Total production Detailed look at the monthly production figures as per MS notifications (situation ) 2016/17 (est.) 2015/16 (prov.) Diff. 2016/17 vs 2015/ /17 (est.) 2015/16 (prov.) Marketing year 2016/17 vs 2015/16 SPAIN ITALY GREECE PORTUGAL Diff. 2016/17 vs 2015/ /17 (est.) 2015/16 (prov.) Diff. 2016/17 vs 2015/ /17 (est.) 2015/16 (prov.) Diff. 2016/17 vs 2015/ % % % % September % October % % % % November % % % % December % % % % 6

7 Non-EU production in 2016/17 9% below 5-year average Source: International Olive Council excl. pomace oil 7

8 8

9 EU OLIVE OIL AVAILABILITIES, USES, ENDING STOCKS 9

10 10

11 EU OLIVE OIL EXTRA-TRADE 11

12 EU imports of olive oil (t) Trade figures (Comext ) 2011/ / / / /16 October- November 2016 change Oct+Nov 2016 vs Oct+Nov 2015 ORIGIN tonnes share tonnes share tonnes share tonnes share tonnes share tonnes share % Tunisia % % % % % % -31% Morocco % % % % % 940 6% -25% Turkey 926 1% % % % 585 1% 688 4% 449% Argentina % % % % % 892 5% -83% Others % % % % % % -11% EXTRA EU % change 24% 55% -62% 293% -55% CN codes 1509 & 1510, all stat. regimes Periods October - September 12

13 Changes to the olive oil CN codes as of 1.January 2017: ex (extra virgin + virgin) CN extra virgin CN virgin COMMISSION IMPLEMENTING REGULATION (EU) 2016/1821 of 6 October 2016 amending Annex I to Council Regulation (EEC) No 2658/87 on the tariff and statistical nomenclature and on the Common Customs Tariff 13

14 14

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16 Conclusion: marginal impact of the emergency autonomous quota on the EU olive oil market Assessment of the impact of Regulation (EU) 2016/580 of the European Parliament and Council on the introduction of emergency autonomous trade measures for the Republic of Tunisia available on Europa website (published ) es/agriculture/files/oo-tqassessment-impact-regulation.pdf 16

17 EU exports of olive oil (t) Trade figures (Comext ) 2011/ / / / /16 October-November 2016 change Oct+Nov 2016 vs DESTINATION tonnes share tonnes share tonnes share tonnes share tonnes share tonnes share % Oct+Nov 2015 USA % % % % % % 34% Brazil % % % % % % 73% Japan % % % % % % 38% China % % % % % % 9% Canada % % % % % % 74% Australia % % % % % % 103% Russia % % % % % % 13% Others % % % % % % 36% EXTRA EU % change 15% -13% 24% -14% 13% CN codes 1509 & 1510, all stat. regimes Periods October - September 17

18 18

19 OLIVE OIL INTRA-TRADE 2015/

20 Olive oil intra trade 2015/16* (CN 1509) (thousands tons) Origin (declared EXPORTS) Spain Italy Greece Portugal France Others TOTAL Destination volume volume volume volume volume volume total CN 1509 % share % share % share % share % share % share on total on total on total on total on total on total Spain 10 7,5% 7 4,6% 48 68,5% 1 16,7% 0 2,8% 67 Italy ,0% ,1% 14 20,3% 0 1,9% 0 2,0% 474 Greece 1 0,2% 4 2,6% 0 0,0% 0 0,0% 0 0,5% 5 Portugal 87 14,7% 0 0,0% 0 0,0% 0 1,9% 0 0,1% 87 France 80 13,4% 32 23,7% 1 0,7% 4 6,2% 2 15,9% 119 UK 40 6,7% 13 10,0% 1 0,9% 0 0,2% 0 3,1% 1 4,6% 56 Germany 9 1,6% 42 31,2% 9 5,8% 0 0,6% 2 24,8% 1 8,9% 64 Netherlands 13 2,3% 2 1,7% 0 0,3% 0 0,5% 0 2,4% 2 13,4% 19 Others 30 5,1% 31 23,3% 7 4,6% 2 3,6% 4 49,1% 8 51,8% 83 TOTAL % % % % 9 100% % 973 Total same period previous campaign Difference same period previous campaign 13% 9% 6% -17% 41% 8% 8% * From 1/10/2015 until 30/9/2016 Excl olive pomace oil Source: Comext/Eurostat (Data transmission to Eurostat: 40 days for aggregated results) All stat. regimes 20

21 EU OLIVE OIL PRICES 21

22 EXTRA VIRGIN CATEGORY Evolution of EXTRA VIRGIN olive oil price - SPAIN (Jaén) / 100kg Latest price (Week 3/2017) : 358,2 Evolution compared same week last year: + 8,5% / / / year average ( ) Evolution of EXTRA VIRGIN olive oil price - ITALY (Bari) / 100kg Latest price (Week 3/2017) : 585,0 Evolution compared same week last year : + 61,2% / / / year average ( ) 150 Evolution of EXTRA VIRGIN olive oil price - GREECE (Χανιά) / 100kg 400 Latest price (Week 3/2017) : 346,0 Evolution compared same w eek last year: + 16,9% / / / year average ( ) 22 Source: MS declarations (R826/2008)

23 VIRGIN CATEGORY Evolution of VIRGIN olive oil price - SPAIN (Jaén) / 100kg Latest price (Week 3/2017) : 345,65 Evolution compared same w eek last year: + 9,0% / / / year average ( ) Evolution of VIRGIN olive oil price - ITALY (Bari) / 100kg Latest price (Week 3/2017) : 420,00 Evolution compared same week last year: + 44,8% / / / year average ( ) 150 Evolution of VIRGIN olive oil price - GREECE (Χανιά) / 100kg 350 Latest price (Week 3/2017) : 330, Evolution compared same week last year: + 24,5% Source: MS declarations (R826/2008) / / / year average ( )

24 LAMPANTE CATEGORY Evolution of LAMPANTE olive oil price - SPAIN (Jaén) / 100kg Latest price (Week 3/2017) : 337,88 Evolution compared same week last year: + 11,3% / / / year average ( ) Evolution of LAMPANTE olive oil price - ITALY (Lecce) / 100kg Latest price (Week 3/2017) : 268,00 Evolution compared same week last year: + 8,7% / / / year average ( ) Evolution of LAMPANTE olive oil price - GREECE (Χανιά) / 100kg Latest price (Week 3/2017) : 280,00 Evolution compared same week last year: + 24,4% / / / year average ( ) 24 Source: MS declarations (R826/2008)

25 TABLE OLIVES 25

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29 More market information on olive oil: Thank you 29

Market situation in the Olive oil and Table olives sectors

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