+$ % -$8-0.04% +$ % -$ % -$ %

Transcription

1 8, 2017 The wholesale market held steady last week with stable values across most segments. Auction consignments were reported to be low for this time of the year. Anil Goyal, Senior Vice President of Automotive Valuation and Analytics WEEKLY CHANGE +0.4% +0.2% 0% -0.2% -0.4% -0.6% -0.8% +$ % -$ % -$7-0.06% +$ % -$8-0.04% +$ % +$ % -$ % -$31 CARS -0.27% -1.0% -1.2% -$ % +1.0% +$ % WEEKLY CHANGE +0.6% +0.2% -0.2% -0.6% +$ % +$ % +$ % -$3-0.01% +$ % -$ % +$ % -$ % -$ % -$4-0.02% +$ % +$ % +$17 TRUCKS +0.10% Model Years: , Volume Weighted Wholesale Average Values, Weekly Change from 4/28/17 to 5/5/17 Values Relatively Stable Last Week Volume-weighted, overall car segment values decreased by 0.27% last week. In comparison, the market values had increased on average by 0.14% per week in the previous four weeks. In car segments, Compact Car and Mid-Size Car segments performed the worst, dropping by 0.89% and 0.44%, respectively. Volume-weighted, overall truck segment (including pickups, SUVs and vans) values increased by 0.10% last week, better than the average increase of 0.02% per week in the previous four weeks. In truck segments, Compact Vans improved the most in value by 0.89% while other segments were quite steady.

2 8, 2017 Sentiment from the Auction Lanes Our editors and personnel attend about 60 auctions every week across the country to provide key insights: A good sale but consignment is still down. Nice, used vehicles are scarce so the prices should remain strong on the clean and extra clean units. Tim in IN Low number of consigned vehicles and a lot of high mileage or damaged vehicles. Even so prices were steady or even up slightly. Jim in WA Two good auctions here this week. Cars and trucks were bringing all the money. Frank in AZ Late model year trucks with average or fewer miles are doing very well. The money on those units remains strong. k in MI Consignment was down a bit - rental returns, along with repo s and lease returns dominated the auction. There were more bidder badges issued than normal. Bob in PA Black Book Used Vehicle Retention Index Black Book s Used Vehicle Retention Index listed at for the month of il, a slight uptick from ch's value of il saw stronger seasonality trends than what we had been seeing during the last few spring seasons. Click here to obtain a copy of the latest index data. Vehicle Highlight 2017 BMW M6 is available in coupe, convertible, and Gran Coupe 4 door bodystyles. Base MSRP starts at $118,690 including factory destination charge. The BMW M6 has a 4.4L V8 with 560hp and 500 lb-ft of torque. Close competitors include the Audi RS 7, Porsche Panamera, Jaguar F-Type, and Mercedes AMG SL. This week s report includes our Monthly Edition Supplement on Specialty kets. 2

3 COLLECTIBLE CARS 8, 2017 Late Spring Auctions Show Continued Strength There are no lulls in the collectible vehicle auction calendar anymore, and the late Spring auctions, while not as large as Scottsdale or Amelia Island, were well attended by sellers, buyers, and spectators. Bidding was brisk, with sales approaching the $70,000,000 mark and impressive sell through rates. Eric Lawrence, Director of Specialty kets 4.00% Percent Change from 2016 to % 2.00% 1.85% 1.00% 0.00% -1.00% -2.00% -0.96% 0.16% -0.17% 3.49% -3.28% -3.00% -4.00% Muscle Cars Pony Cars American Classics Sports Cars Exotic Cars Classic Trucks Auctions America s Fort Lauderdale sale celebrated its fifteenth anniversary with $17,300,000 in sales and an impressive 76% (304 of 400) sales conversion rate. One of the highlights of the three day sale was 26 historically significant vehicles from the JLG Autocrib Porsche Collection, which were sold at no reserve. Not too far away, Barrett-Jackson celebrated the fifteenth anniversary of their Palm Beach auction with $20,500,000 in sales. As their auctions are essentially all no reserve, the sell through rate was roughly 100% on the offering of 500 vehicles. $515,000 was raised for charities from the sale of five donated vehicles. Mecum had a couple of good sales, reaching $7,300,000 in Kansas City and $21,700,000 in Houston. A total of 309 vehicles were declared sold during the two days in Kansas City, while 793 traded hands over three days in Houston, with 70% finding new homes (including lots from the LaQuay and Emalee Burton collections.) Photo courtesy of Auctions America Notable Recent Auction Sales Include: 1955 Studebaker Speedster $48,400 (Auctions America) 1963 Mercedes 300SL Roadster $1,200,000 (Auctions America) 1990 Lamborghini LM002 $300,000 (Auctions America) 1961 VW 23 Window Microbus $291,500 (Barrett-Jackson) 1969 Ford Mustang Boss 429 $291,500 (Barrett-Jackson) 2010 Ferrari 599 GTB $200,000 (Barrett-Jackson) 2005 Ford GT Coupe $300,000 (Mecum KC) 1973 DeTomaso Pantera Coupe $85,000 (Mecum KC) 1970 Plymouth Hemi Cuda Coupe $180,000 (Mecum Houston) 1969 Shelby GT500 Conv $250,000 (Mecum Houston) 3

4 RECREATIONAL VEHICLES 8, 2017 RV Values at Auction Continue to Sizzle Warmer weather is here and the Spring market is upon us. Towable sales at auction set another record last month, and Motor Home values hit their second highest number since the summer of The overall economy is strong, consumer confidence is up, and consumers are buying RVs in record numbers. Many of these new RV sales result in a used unit coming to the market, and dealers are stocking up to handle the customers who don t want to buy new. Eric Lawrence, Director of Specialty kets Motor Home Value Trends Jan-13 Sep Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 For Motor Homes (including Class A, B, and C) Average selling price was $44,379 up $5,534 (14.2%) from previous month One year ago, the average selling price was $35,168 Auction volume was up 13% from the previous month Travel Trailer and Fifth Wheel Value Trends Jan-13 Sep Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 For Towables (including Travel Trailers and Fifth Wheels) Average selling price was $13,397, up $162 (1.2%) from previous month One year ago, the average selling price was $11,965 Auction volume was up 19% from previous month 4

5 POWERSPORTS 8, 2017 Powersports ket Continues to Surge The Powersports market continues to surge ahead this month with across the board increases in value as the Summer selling season is in full swing. Scott Yarbrough, Motorcycle & Powersports Editor 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 3.2% Motorcycle & Powersports Percent Changes il to % 2.1% 1.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.2% -3.4% 2.6% -1.0% -2.0% -0.7% -3.0% -4.0% The largest gainers this month are the Cruisers, both the domestic V-Twins and the metrics are up substantially. The metric models are up roughly 3 percent, while the domestics are up over 4 percent, leading to a total segment average increase of 4.3 percent. Within the cruiser segment, the smaller displacement models (those less than 1,000 cc) are up a bit more than the larger units. This is a good sign for the future as these models are more in demand by first time and entry level buyers who should be back in later years for bigger displacement upgrades. The other road going bike segments are up by much smaller amounts, with the Street and Dual Sport bikes only up a little, and the Scooters actually dropping a bit. If you remember back to last month though, this segment was up over six percent, so its two-month average is in line with the rest of the market. Both the ATVs and Utility Vehicles are strong performing segments as well this month, with the ATVs outperforming the Utility Vehicles by a 2 to 1 margin. This continues a trend we have been seeing for a little while now of the Utility Vehicle market maturing and performing more in-line with the rest of the industry. 5

6 HEAVY DUTY 8, 2017 Late Model Over the Road and Regional Tractors Continue to Drop Hard! Following a month with not very much depreciation, long and short haul road tractors declined much more in il than in ch. Charles Cathey, Editor Heavy Duty Truck Data Apparently, much of the needs for over the road and regional replacement equipment was satisfied in ch. We mentioned that possibility last month as a major reason for ch s relatively low drop from ruary. Large number of late model vehicles in the segment is a major contributing factor leading to this result. Late model used construction/vocational trucks, new and old, held their value well while over the road and regional tractors depreciated 0.3% and 0.4%, respectively more in il than they did in ch. Monthly Change Average Wholesale Value Changes (ket) $0 -$500 -$1,000 -$1,500 -$2,000 Construction/Vocational Over the Road Trucks & Tractors Regional Tractors Construction/Vocational Over the Road Trucks & Tractors Regional Tractors MODEL DATE Value $ Change % Change Value $ Change % Change Value $ Change % Change YEARS 05/01/17 82, % 66, % 56, % /01/17 83, % 67, % 56, % HD Construction/Vocational segment dropped an average of $426 (0.5%) in il compared to the average decline of $344 (0.4%) in ch HD Over the Road Tractor segment dropped an average of $512 (0.8%) in il compared to the average drop of $318 (0.5%) in ch HD Regional Tractor segment dropped an average of $499 (0.9%) in il compared to the average depreciation of $303 (0.5%) in ch. Construction/Vocational Over the Road Trucks & Tractors Regional Tractors MODEL DATE Value $ Change % Change Value $ Change % Change Value $ Change % Change YEARS 05/01/17 40, % 30, % 22, % /01/17 41, % 31, % 22, % HD Construction/Vocational segment dropped an average of $280 (0.7%) in il compared to the $232 (0.6%) in ch HD Over the Road Tractor segment dropped an average of $542 (1.7%) in il compared to $164 (0.5%) average depreciation in ch HD Regional Tractor segment dropped an average of $430 (1.9%) in il compared to the average drop of $162 (0.7%) in ch. 6

7 MEDIUM DUTY 8, 2017 Prices Fall Slightly in il compared to ch Medium Duty truck prices marginally dropped in il compared to ch Josh Giles, Senior Truck Editor Medium Duty trucks depreciated slightly more in il than they did in ch based on our reports. Although prices fell marginally in il compared to ch the overall market is performing quite well. Ample supply of box trucks is helping keep some downward pressure on the overall market. Late Model Medium Duty trucks dropped an average of $393 (0.9%) in il compared to the $277 (0.7%) drop in ch. Depreciation also increased slightly month over month on the early model Medium Duty units. This past month the early model Medium Duty trucks dropped an average of $186 (1.0%) compared to the $129 (0.7%) we saw in ch. With the housing market and GDP expected to slightly increase in 2017 we expect retail sales to slightly increase as well. Normally as these factors increase so does retail chassis sales for this market. It s going to be interesting to watch this market over the next few years. Medium Duty MODEL Medium Duty MODEL DATE Value $ Change % Change YEARS DATE Value $ Change % Change YEARS 05/01/17 41, % /01/17 17, % /01/17 41, % /01/17 18, % Fuel prices have been relatively stable so far this year. We are currently paying an average of $2.60 per gallon for diesel. This is a $0.04 increase from last month, and a $0.43 increase from this time last year. As a national average we haven t paid this much for diesel since mid-il of At least we aren t paying $4.76 like we were back in of With some reports indicating that we currently have a fuel surplus we should benefit from these low fuel prices for the near future. Diesel Price Changes 03/13/17 +$ /20/17 +$ /27/17 +$ /03/17 +$ /10/17 +$ /17/17 +$0.43 +$0.50 +$0.40 +$0.30 +$0.20 -$0.02 -$0.02 -$0.01 +$0.02 +$0.03 +$0.02 +$0.10 +$0.00 -$0.10 Price Chg/Week Price Chg/Year 1745 N. Brown Rd., Suite 130, Lawrenceville, GA info@blackbook.com Opt-in to receive reports from Black Book at 7