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1 November, 2018 MTD MARKET UPDATE Data Current Through: November, 2018 Active, Pending, & Months Supply of Inventory 4,500 4,000 4, ,926 Active Listings at End of Month Pending Sales MTD 7 mo. 6 mo. 3,500 3, ,979 Months Supply of Inventory (Act. Listings EoM / Pend. Sales MTD) 5 mo. 2, mo. 2,000 1,500 1, ,570 1,521 1, , mo. 2 mo. 1 mo. 0 11/09 11/10 11/11 11/12 11/13 11/14 11/15 11/16 11/17 11/18 0 mo K 800 K 700 K Median Closed Sales Price for For Current Current Month Month Closings Listings $745,000 $650,000 $825, K 500 K 400 K $445,000 $452,871 $412,000 $479,950 $485,000 $544,995 $560, K 200 K 100 K -9% 2% -9% 16% 1% 12% 3% 16% 15% 11% 0Year Rank (Multiple Items) Current Year Yes 11/09 11/10 11/11 11/12 11/13 11/14 11/15 11/16 11/17 11/18
2 November MTD MARKET UPDATE Data Current Through: November, 2018 What Are The Odds of Selling? 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 14,705 14,785 12,857 60% 11,916 79% 9,393 13,406 13,461 82% 78% 11,020 10,489 13,154 86% 12,968 87% 12,861 86% 11,338 11,314 11,080 13,581 74% 10, % 90% 80% 70% 60% 8,000 6,000 40% 5,940 46% 6,829 7,772 50% 40% 4,000 30% 20% 2,000 10% 0 11/09 11/10 11/11 11/12 11/13 11/14 11/15 11/16 11/17 11/18 New Listings (Trailing 12 Mo.) Closed Sales (Trailing 12 Mo.) Closed Vs. New Listings 0% Percentage of Pending Sales that do not Close 16,000 35% 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 8,589 31% 5,940 9,569 29% 6,829 12,874 28% 27% 10,734 9,393 7,772 13,536 19% 11,020 14,089 13,046 13,316 11,338 11,314 10,489 20% 20% 15% 12,584 12% 11,080 11,123 10,066 10% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 2,000 5% 0 11/09 11/10 11/11 11/12 11/13 11/14 11/15 11/16 11/17 11/18 Pending Sales (Trailing 12 Mo.) Closed Sales (Trailing 12 Mo.) Closed Vs. Pending Listings 0%
3 PERCENTAGE OF LISTINGS SOLD ABOVE, AT, BELOW LIST PRICE AND WITH A PRICE CHANGE 28% 19% 14% -Nov % 42% -Oct % 47% -Nov % 14% 15% 24% 27% SAME MONTH LAST YEAR LAST MONTH CURRENT MONTH SOLD SOLD SOLD PRICE ABOVE AT BELOW CHANGE NOVEMBER 2018 LIST PRICE LIST PRICE LIST PRICE BEFORE SALE AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET NUMBER OF IN MONTH MEDIAN DIFFERENCE FROM LIST PRICE 2% 0% -3% N/A
4 Months Area Inventory Area Inventory Months SELLER'S ADVANTAGE BALANCED ADVANTAGE 3 YEARS AGO BUYER'S ADVANTAGE Months Supply of Inventory CURRENT MONTH KING & SNOHOMISH COUNTY RESIDENTIAL & CONDOMINIUM 800 Tacoma 2 YEARS AGO 1 YEAR AGO Edmonds Seattle Burien 130 Federal Way 100 Mountlake Terrace Puyallup Kirkland Renton 340 Kent Auburn 310 Arlington Marysville 530 Bellevue Woodinville Redmond Sammamish Monroe Enumclaw 300 North Bend 770 Arlington 770 Arlington 770 Arlington Marysville Marysville Marysville Monroe Monroe Monroe 730 Edmonds Mountlake Edmonds Mountlake Edmonds Mountlake Woodinville Woodinville Woodinville Kirkland Redmond Seattle Bellevue Sammamish Kirkland Redmond Seattle Bellevue Sammamish Kirkland Redmond Seattle Bellevue Sammamish Burien Renton 340 North Bend 800 Burien Renton 340 North Bend 800 Burien Renton 340 North Bend Kent Kent Kent Federal Way 110 Auburn 310 Federal Way 110 Auburn 310 Federal Way 110 Auburn 310 Tacoma 100 Enumclaw 300 Tacoma 100 Enumclaw 300 Tacoma 100 Enumclaw 300 Puyallup Puyallup Puyallup Created by Windermere Real Estate/East Inc. using NWMLS data. Months Supply of Inventory is active inventory on the last day of the month divided by the number of properties that went pending, signed agreement between buyers and sellers, during the month.
5 Monthly Payments Vs. Appreciation Trendline King County (RESIDENTIAL ONLY) Monthly Payments (principal + interest) based on average price and interest rate $1,275 King County Annual Average Residential Closed Sales Price (with interest rate in bars) Appreciation Trend Line represents Seattle Consumer PRice Index: all items, all urban consumers $1,587 $1,466 $1,389 $1,271 $1,485 $1,477 $1,518 $1,626 $1,714 $1,995 $2,312 $2,144 $2,151 $2,078 $2,302 $2,695 $3,244 $3,509 $3,172 $2,459 $2,398 $2,136 $2,020 $2,357 $2,642 $2,747 $3,183 $3,519 $4,275 $900,000 $800,000 $700,000 $600,000 $500,000 $400,000 $300,000 $200, % 10.1% 9.3% 8.4% 7.3% 8.4% 7.9% 7.8% 7.6% 6.9% 7.4% 8.1% 7.0% 6.5% 5.8% 5.8% 5.9% 6.4% 6.3% 6.0% 5.0% 4.7% 4.5% 3.7% 4.0% 4.2% 3.9% 4.2% 4.0% 4.8% $100,000 $0 The Cost of Waiting a Year Sales Price to List Price based on Market Time King County Median Price Rate 30-Year-Fixed P&I Principal & Interest Market Time (DOM) Median SP to Original LP % Median SP to Last LP % Total Units % of Total November, 2018 $825, % $4,343 < % 100.0% % November, 2017 $745, % $3, % 97.9% % $80, % $821 Per Month $9,852 Per Year % 98.2% % % 97.6% % % 96.3% % Totals %
6 2018 PRICE JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEPT OCT NOV DEC $0 to $249, $250,000 to $499, ,437 $500,000 to $749, ,160 $750,000 to $999, ,355 $1,000,000 to $1,499, ,021 $1,500,000 to $2,499, $2,500,000 and above Grand Total ,012 1,181 1, , PRICE JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEPT OCT NOV DEC $0 to $249, $250,000 to $499, ,033 $500,000 to $749, ,770 $750,000 to $999, ,355 $1,000,000 to $1,499, ,903 $1,500,000 to $2,499, $2,500,000 and above Grand Total ,074 1,228 1,120 1,228 1,062 1, ,312 YOY % CHANGE PRICE JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEPT OCT NOV DEC $0 to $249,999-71% -74% -70% -60% -68% -71% -59% -54% -68% -68% -76% -67% $250,000 to $499,999-27% 4% -24% -27% -23% -33% -17% -35% -43% -30% -49% -29% $500,000 to $749,999-21% -27% -14% 6% -24% -7% -20% -35% -33% -27% -29% -22% $750,000 to $999,999 1% 45% 29% 23% 11% -7% -12% -13% -12% -14% -5% 0% $1,000,000 to $1,499,999 7% 26% 13% 23% 8% 30% 12% 0% -17% 3% -25% 6% $1,500,000 to $2,499,999 28% 73% 43% 48% 30% 6% 55% -11% -27% 14% 13% 18% $2,500,000 and above 100% -12% 17% 90% 22% 29% 3% 23% -13% -19% -10% 15% Grand Total -10% 5% 1% 8% -6% -4% -7% -21% -27% -17% -26% -11%
7 Statistics To Know Residential November, 2018 November, 2017 Difference % Change Months Supply of Inventory % Active Listings at End of Month 1, % Pending Sales MTD % Pending Sales (Trailing 12 Months) 8,276 9,361-1,085-12% Closed Sales MTD % Closed Sales (Trailing 12 Months) 7,449 8, % Closed Sales Price (Median) $885,000 $851,201 $33,799 4% 30-Year-Fixed-Rate Mortgage Rate 4.8% 3.9% 0.9% 23% Monthly Payments (P&I) $4,659 $4,025 $635 16% Condominium November, 2018 November, 2017 Difference % Change Months Supply of Inventory % Active Listings at End of Month % Pending Sales MTD % Pending Sales (Trailing 12 Months) 2,847 3, % Closed Sales MTD % Closed Sales (Trailing 12 Months) 2,617 2, % Closed Sales Price (Median) $510,000 $399,000 $111,000 28% 30-Year-Fixed-Rate Mortgage Rate 4.8% 3.9% 0.9% 23% Monthly Payments (P&I) $2,685 $1,887 $799 42% Residential & Condominium November, 2018 November, 2017 Difference % Change Months Supply of Inventory % Active Listings at End of Month 1, % Pending Sales MTD % Pending Sales (Trailing 12 Months) 11,123 12,584-1,461-12% Closed Sales MTD % Closed Sales (Trailing 12 Months) 10,066 11,080-1,014-9% Closed Sales Price (Median) $825,000 $745,000 $80,000 11% 30-Year-Fixed-Rate Mortgage Rates 4.8% 3.9% 0.9% 23% Monthly Payments (P&I) $4,343 $3,522 $821 23%
8 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC MTD % Change Summary π % Change 2018 Active Listings (EOM) ,230 1,527 1,702 1,960 2,161 2,016 1, % 1,351 AVG 57% New Listings Taken in Month ,325 1,299 1,806 1,619 1,356 1,339 1, % 13,245 6% # of Pending Transactions ,136 1,089 1,367 1,228 1, % 10,585-12% Months Supply of Inventory % 1.5 AVG 86% # of Closed Sales ,021 1,185 1, % 9,238-10% Median Closed Price 786, , , , , , , , , , ,000 11% 830,043 WA 11% 2017 Active Listings (EOM) ,044 1,158 1,071 1, % 863 AVG -21% New Listings Taken in Month ,268 1,199 1,521 1,578 1,421 1,280 1, % 12,512-1% # of Pending Transactions ,084 1,170 1,376 1,367 1,292 1,302 1,093 1, % 12,043-6% Months Supply of Inventory % 0.8 AVG -17% # of Closed Sales ,072 1,225 1,114 1,222 1,065 1, % 10,290-2% Median Closed Price 700, , , , , , , , , , , ,000 15% 746,000 WA 16% 2016 Active Listings (EOM) ,123 1,130 1,341 1,493 1,371 1,352 1, % 1,099 AVG -21% New Listings Taken in Month ,301 1,403 1,405 1,631 1,403 1,195 1, % 12,593-1% # of Pending Transactions ,176 1,251 1,451 1,412 1,267 1,275 1,214 1, % 12,750-5% Months Supply of Inventory % 0.9 AVG -17% # of Closed Sales ,030 1,247 1,183 1,160 1,013 1, % 10,466 0% Median Closed Price 585, , , , , , , , , , , ,750 16% 644,149 WA 12% 2015 Active Listings (EOM) 1,147 1,235 1,268 1,425 1,577 1,629 1,659 1,594 1,472 1, % 1,382 AVG -20% New Listings Taken in Month 778 1,034 1,263 1,463 1,530 1,510 1,362 1,209 1, % 12,717-2% # of Pending Transactions 825 1,030 1,351 1,386 1,481 1,471 1,383 1,303 1,208 1, % 13,418 8% Months Supply of Inventory % 1.1 AVG -26% # of Closed Sales ,087 1,268 1,230 1,144 1, % 10,500 9% Median Closed Price 550, , , , , , , , , , , ,650 3% 572,754 WA 8% MONTHLY AVERAGES BASED ON HISTORICAL DATA JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Active Listings (EOM) 1,940 2,012 2,124 2,250 2,431 2,549 2,664 2,637 2,574 2,309 1,968 1,621 2,257 AVG % of 12 Month Avg. 86% 89% 94% 100% 108% 113% 118% 117% 114% 102% 87% 72% New Listings Taken in Month ,302 1,362 1,480 1,466 1,387 1,228 1, ,356 T % of 12 Month Avg. 85% 88% 117% 122% 133% 132% 125% 110% 102% 87% 59% 41% # of Pending Transactions ,114 1,172 1,239 1,201 1,132 1,103 1,011 1, ,974 T % of 12 Month Avg. 74% 86% 112% 117% 124% 120% 113% 110% 101% 101% 80% 60% Months Supply of Inventory AVG % of 12 Month Avg. 114% 102% 83% 83% 85% 92% 102% 104% 111% 99% 107% 117% # of Closed Units , ,564 T % of 12 Month Avg. 62% 62% 90% 99% 113% 129% 123% 122% 107% 107% 92% 94% AVG = Average, = Year to Date, WA = Weighted Average, T = Total Annual Totals π
9 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC MTD % Change Summary π % Change 2014 Active Listings (EOM) 1,194 1,265 1,368 1,474 1,820 1,974 2,189 2,284 2,087 1,893 1,499 1,149-1% 1,732 AVG 4% New Listings Taken in Month ,232 1,373 1,661 1,470 1,538 1,305 1,093 1, % 13,023 1% # of Pending Transactions ,186 1,309 1,401 1,315 1,262 1,157 1,123 1, % 12,445-3% Months Supply of Inventory % 1.5 AVG 6% # of Closed Sales ,020 1,053 1,180 1, % 9,667-5% Median Closed Price 495, , , , , , , , , , , ,169 12% 530,584 WA 8% 2013 Active Listings (EOM) 1,263 1,259 1,292 1,422 1,661 1,844 2,015 2,147 2,092 1,836 1,521 1,230-3% 1,668 AVG -25% New Listings Taken in Month ,162 1,333 1,526 1,451 1,470 1,399 1, % 12,941 13% # of Pending Transactions 944 1,047 1,229 1,319 1,386 1,338 1,328 1,263 1,062 1, % 12,837 5% Months Supply of Inventory % 1.4 AVG -29% # of Closed Sales ,077 1,069 1,153 1,172 1, % 10,219 16% Median Closed Price 439, , , , , , , , , , , ,385 1% 492,390 WA 13% 2012 Active Listings (EOM) 2,514 2,412 2,291 2,329 2,360 2,334 2,322 2,323 2,181 1,821 1,570 1,246-47% 2,223 AVG -38% New Listings Taken in Month ,187 1,249 1,264 1,225 1,152 1, % 11,457-7% # of Pending Transactions 805 1,015 1,304 1,232 1,303 1,194 1,151 1,126 1,060 1, % 12,247 21% Months Supply of Inventory % 2.0 AVG -48% # of Closed Sales % 8,789 23% Median Closed Price 399, , , , , , , , , , , ,000 16% 436,383 WA 1% 2011 Active Listings (EOM) 3,372 3,402 3,557 3,694 3,839 3,932 3,921 3,796 3,634 3,340 2,979 2,551-24% 3,588 AVG -19% New Listings Taken in Month 1, ,299 1,308 1,370 1,358 1,256 1,057 1, % 12,270-13% # of Pending Transactions ,002 1, , % 10,136 13% Months Supply of Inventory % 3.9 AVG -30% # of Closed Sales % 7,160 15% Median Closed Price 430, , , , , , , , , , , ,000-9% 431,614 WA -6% 2010 Active Listings (EOM) 3,742 3,944 4,173 4,404 4,565 4,724 4,992 4,899 4,825 4,454 3,926 3,325-6% 4,423 AVG -8% New Listings Taken in Month 1,462 1,303 1,605 1,605 1,249 1,352 1,445 1,177 1,185 1, % 14,173 0% # of Pending Transactions ,106 1, % 8,996 9% Months Supply of Inventory % 5.6 AVG -19% # of Closed Sales % 6,235 12% Median Closed Price 445, , , , , , , , , , , ,745 2% 457,026 WA 2% 2009 Active Listings (EOM) 4,407 4,736 4,927 5,007 5,249 5,144 5,190 4,920 4,780 4,441 4,156 3,460-15% 4,814 AVG -8% New Listings Taken in Month 1,404 1,163 1,379 1,385 1,466 1,466 1,465 1,178 1,224 1, % 14,125-13% # of Pending Transactions % 8,269 16% Months Supply of Inventory % 6.9 AVG -17% # of Closed Sales % 5,586-9% Median Closed Price 447, , , , , , , , , , , ,000-9% 449,797 WA -11% AVG = Average, = Year to Date, WA = Weighted Average, T = Total
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